Best Bets!

Basketball Best Bets +471.2 Stars (at -1.10 odds) Last 12 Seasons!
Best Bets 49-29 on a Star Basis This Season!

Check back today after 3 pm Pacific for Today's Best Bets!

Current Season Results
Best Bets 20-13
I won my 3-Star Best Bet on Florida International +10, as the Panthers managed to lose by 9 points despite being down by just 3 points with 55 seconds left. I deserve some close wins after being well below 50% last season on close games (I was up 35 Stars despite that). For the season I am 20-13 on my Basketball Best Bets and 49-29 on a Star Basis (9-3 on 3-Stars and 11-10 on 2-Stars) for a profit of +17.1 Stars at -1.10 odds.

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NFL Best Bets for Wednesday

55% on NFL Best Bets Last 23 Years! 

Thursday NFL Available on Wednesday afternoon.

Week 11 Recap
It's tough to have a good season when you lose almost every close game and that continues to be the case this season. I was 1-3 on my week 11 NFL Best Bets while losing both close games. My 2-Star Best Bet on Pittsburgh -7 was an easy 35-3 winner and my 2-Star Best Bet on Detroit +6 1/2 lost 19-35. The two close games that I ultimately lost were 2-Stars on Cleveland +1 1/2 (lost by 4) and 2-Stars on New England -4, who had a 17 point 4th quarter lead and won by just 3 points. I'm now 2-9 on games decided by 7 points or less in the NFL this year, but neither of the close wins was actually a lucky win, as one was a game in which the other team scored late to get within 7 points of the spread and the other was Cincy against Indy, who was -5 in turnovers and covered anyway because they out played the Colts otherwise as a 7 point dog. The 9 close losses I've had have been agonizing and I should be 6-3 on those games since 3 were games I certainly had the right side in and 6 were toss-ups that could have gone either way (I would expect to be 3-3 on those games. I am now just 6-15 on my NFL Best Bets (14-36 on Stars), but I deserve to be 12-9 based on my level of handicapping. I've had years when I've had more lucky wins than unlucky losses but I'm not sure I've had a season as lopsided as this in the random department. Variance is part of sports betting and it's gone my way in some seasons too, but it's important to realize that my handicapping has not been as bad as my record and that should give you comfort going forward as I try to get back to even by season's end.

My methods have worked very well in the NFL overall this season (pretty evident given my 56% spread record picking every game, 79-61-2 with 16 games with no lean), and the majority of my Best Bets have been good bets, so I'm confident that I'll win going forward as long as I don't continue to lose every close game. I've been down in the NFL in other years and come back to rally for a profit by the end of year and I expect to win going forward - although it may be tough to get back to 50% this year. My Strong Opinions were 0-1 in week 11 and are now 9-12-1 for the season.

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Thursday's NFL Best Bets

55% on NFL Best Bets Last 23 Years! 

Week 11 NFL Analysis posted on Friday after 10 am Pacific.
I'll post my week 11 NFL Best Bets, Strong Opinions and free analysis on Friday after 10 am Pacific – after they are released to my monthly and season subscribers. If you don't have a subscription you can purchase the weekly Best Bets for $30 after they are posted.

Week 10 Recap
Just when I think I'm finally about to win a close game, my 2-Star Best Bet on Cleveland +3/+3.5 gives up a TD with just 6 seconds left in overtime to give me my second loss with an underdog in overtime in two weeks. Last week I was also screwed with Philly -2 1/2 on a bullshit personal foul call for a fingertips to the head of Peyton Manning that led to the Colts scoring to lose by 2 instead of 9 (I had Philly -2 1/2). Even the close game I won on Sunday, my 3-Star Best Bet on Cincinnati +7 was unlucky, as the Bengals out-gained the Colts 341 yards at 5.1 yards per play to 256 yards at 4.3 yppl and covered despite being a ridiculous -5 in turnovers, which tells you how good of a bet that was (teams that are -5 in turnovers were 4-126 ATS since 1989 in the NFL). So, for the second straight week I had two very good bets and my record on those games is 1-3 instead of 4-0. I'm officially 2-7 on games decided by 7 points or less in the NFL this year, but neither of the close wins was actually a lucky win, as one was a game in which the other team scored late to get within 7 points of the spread and the other was Cincy, who was -5 in turnovers and covered anyway because they out played the Colts otherwise as a 7 point dog. The 7 close losses I've had have been agonizing and I should be 5-2 on those games since 3 were games I certainly had the right side in and 4 were toss-ups that could have gone either way (I would expect to be 2-2 on those games. I am now just 5-12 on my NFL Best Bets (12-30 on Stars), but I deserve to be 10-7 based on my level of handicapping. I've had years when I've had more lucky wins than unlucky losses but I'm not sure I've had a season as lopsided as this in the random department. Variance is part of sports betting and it's gone my way in some seasons too, but it's important to realize that my handicapping has not been as bad as my record and that should give you comfort going forward as I try to get back to even by season's end.

Click to read the rest of this Best Bets football analysis and don't forget to check back after 3 pm today for Dr. Bob's College Football Analysis!!

3 Star Best Bet for Free in today's College Football Analysis

College Best Bets 761-561-35 (58%) on a Star Basis Since 2004!! 
Best Bets 36-25-1 This Season (87-65-2 on Stars)! 

Wednesday Best Bet and Tuesday Strong Opinion in Free Analysis section
I have a Strong Opinion on Temple (-7 1/2) on Tuesday night and Toledo (-10) is a 3-Star Best Bet on Wednesday night. You can read the analysis of all 3 early games in the Free Analysis section in the Mid American Conference page.

Week 11 Recap and Season Results
Best Bets Now 36-25-1 This Season
I was 1-2 on my Best Bets and 3-2 on my Strong Opinions in week 11, which was just the second time all season I've been under 50% on my College Best Bets (I was 0-1 in week 2). It's been a pretty consistent, winning season so far so 1-2 is certainly nothing more than a speed bump given my 59% winning percentage for the season. My Best Bet win was a 2-Star on Auburn -8, who won by 18 after falling behind by 14 points early. I lost a 3-Star on Cincinnati, who turned the ball over early and often on their way to a decisive 12-35 loss at West Virginia. My other loss was a 3-Star loss on Florida Atlantic -10, who was up early 14-0 but won by just 1 point over UL Lafayette. The under in that game was a Strong Opinion winner and I was 2-2 on my Strong Opinion sides with Pittsburgh, East Carolina, BYU, and Air Force. Only one of my Best Bets was affected by a line move, as Florida Atlantic went from a 3-Star loss at -10 to a 2-Star loss when the line moved to -10 1/2 shortly after releasing the Best Bets to my subscribers. I will of course count that game as a 3-Star loss since -10 was the line at the time of release.

Click to read the rest of this article for more football analysis and sports betting picks!

College Football Best Bets!

College Best Bets 761-561-35 (58%) on a Star Basis Since 2004!! 
Best Bets 35-23-1 This Season (85-59-2 on Stars)! 

Week 11 Analysis posted on Thursday after 3 pm Pacific.
I'll post my week 10 College Best Bets, Strong Opinions and free analysis on Thursday around 3 pm Pacific – after they are released to my monthly and season subscribers. If you don't have a subscription you can purchase the weekly Best Bets for $65 after they are posted, although it's better to be a monthly or seasonal subscriber because you get each game as it's being released, which allows you to play them before the line moves.

Week 10 Recap and Season Results
Best Bets Now 35-23-1 This Season
I was 3-2 on my Best Bets and 9-5 on a Star Basis, going 3-1 on my 3-Star Best Bet and 0-1 on my 2-Star Best Bet. I won 3-Stars on Boston College -3 over Wake Forest as the Eagles won 23-13 while out-gaining the Demon Deacons 5.7 yards per play to 4.6 yppl. I won 3-Stars on Oklahoma State -7 1/2, who jumped out to a 34-0 lead over Baylor and won 55-28. I won 3-Stars on Texas A&M +3 over Oklahoma, as the Aggies won straight up 33-19 while averaging 5.6 yppl and giving up just 3.6 yppl to the Sooners. I lost 3-Stars on Louisiana Tech at pick, who lost 34-40 to Fresno State. I lost 2-Stars on UAB -10, who lost 17-31 to Marshall. That's 9-5 on Stars for a solid 3.5 Stars of profit at -1.10 odds. My Strong Opinions were 0-4, so I guess it was good decision making to not make those games Best Bets.

Read more football analysis here!

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College Football Analysis

College Best Bets 761-561-35 (58%) on a Star Basis Since 2004!! 
Best Bets 35-23-1 This Season (85-59-2 on Stars)! 

Tuesday and Wednesday analysis in free analysis section (Mid American conference page).

Week 11 Analysis posted on Thursday after 3 pm Pacific.
I'll post my week 10 College Best Bets, Strong Opinions and free analysis on Thursday around 3 pm Pacific – after they are released to my monthly and season subscribers. If you don't have a subscription you can purchase the weekly Best Bets for $65 after they are posted, although it's better to be a monthly or seasonal subscriber because you get each game as it's being released, which allows you to play them before the line moves.

Week 10 Recap and Season Results
Best Bets Now 35-23-1 This Season
I was 3-2 on my Best Bets and 9-5 on a Star Basis, going 3-1 on my 3-Star Best Bet and 0-1 on my 2-Star Best Bet. I won 3-Stars on Boston College -3 over Wake Forest as the Eagles won 23-13 while out-gaining the Demon Deacons 5.7 yards per play to 4.6 yppl. I won 3-Stars on Oklahoma State -7 1/2, who jumped out to a 34-0 lead over Baylor and won 55-28. I won 3-Stars on Texas A&M +3 over Oklahoma, as the Aggies won straight up 33-19 while averaging 5.6 yppl and giving up just 3.6 yppl to the Sooners. I lost 3-Stars on Louisiana Tech at pick, who lost 34-40 to Fresno State. I lost 2-Stars on UAB -10, who lost 17-31 to Marshall. That's 9-5 on Stars for a solid 3.5 Stars of profit at -1.10 odds. My Strong Opinions were 0-4, so I guess it was good decision making to not make those games Best Bets.

The line moves could have affected a few games, as the 3-Star loss on Louisiana Tech at pick would have been a 2-Star loss at -1 1/2 or higher after the line moved. UAB, meanwhile, went from a 2-Star loss at -10 to an opinion at -10 1/2, although the line did move back to -10 on Saturday at about half the books. The line on BC -3 actually stayed at -3 after the release, but eventually moved to -3 1/2 and -4 by Saturday, which would have made that game a 2-Star win instead of a 3-Star at -3 or less.

My record for the season is now....

Click to read the rest of this article for more football analysis and football handicapping!

Catch Dr. Bob on SBR.TV giving his expert analysis!

Dr. Bob on Alabama at LSU...



Dr. Bob on Arkansas at South Carolina...



Dr. Bob on the NCAAF Week 10 Picks and Leans...




Place your bets now!

Thursday's Basketball Best Bets!

Thursday, November 04 
Basketball Best Bets +471.2 Stars (at -1.10 odds) Last 12 Seasons! 
Best Bets Now 4-1 This Season! 

No Best Bets for Thursday. Thursday Opinion below.

Current Season Results
Best Bets 4-1
I won my 4th consecutive NBA Best Bet on Wednesday night as my 3-Star Best Bet on Charlotte +1 squeaked by New Jersey 85-83. I lost more close games than I won last year, so I'll take the close win without any guilt. I am now 4-1 on my Basketball Best Bets and 10-3 on a Star Basis (2-1 on 3-Stars and 2-0 on 2-Stars) for a profit of +6.7 Stars at -1.10 odds.

Early Season NBA Best Bets 68-32-6 Last 10 Years!
I often get asked if it is best to wait until the NBA gets going before signing up, and the answer is a resounding NO. I have some very strong early season indicators in the NBA and in College Basketball and my NBA Best Bets are 68-32-6 the first two weeks of the last 10 seasons using those indicators. I am 9-3 on 4-Star Best Bets, 32-21-5 on 3-Stars, and 27-8-1 on 2-Stars for a record of 186-91-17 on a Star Basis for a profit of +85.9 Stars at -1.10 odds during the first two weeks, so make sure to jump in early on the NBA this season. I won't have a monthly subscription package up until college starts, but you can purchase season package through the NCAA Tournament Final or through the NBA Playoffs or purchase daily Best Bets for $15 ($20 if you're not a registered member. Registering is free). The season subscription is $1595, which is about $7 a day.

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Great Deals on Monthly and Season Subscriptions!

Here are a few examples of available subscriptions!

FOOTBALL - BASKETBALL COMBO
Get all of my NFL and College Football Analysis and all my NBA and College Basketball Best Bets through the 2011 NBA playoffs for one low price. Includes playoffs. I am 56% lifetime over 24 years and I am a very profitable 5741-4823-237 for a profit of +435.7 Stars (at -1.10 odds) the last 11 years on my Basketball Best Bets (and 55% lifetime for an average of +44 Stars of profit per year at -1.10 odds).
You will receive an email with the analysis of all Best Bets and Strong Opinions and you'll have access to my Football and Basketball Best Bets release page (details will be emailed to you before the season), which releases the Best Bets one by one at exactly the same time to every member.
Season price is lowered each week and reflects what amount of the season is remaining.

BASKETBALL FULL SEASON
I am a very profitable 5741-4823-237 for a profit of +435.7 Stars (at -1.10 odds) the last 11 years on my Basketball Best Bets (and 55% lifetime for an average of +44 Stars of profit per year at -1.10 odds).
Get all my Basketball Best Bets, both College and Pro, emailed to you daily from now through the end of the 2010/2011 season. This subscription includes the NCAA Tournament and NBA Playoffs. In addition to the daily emails, you can also access my Best Bets via my Basketball Best Bets release page (details will be emailed to you) and toll free recorded telephone service (E-mail me at docstoll@aol.com and send me a 5 to 7 digit passcode and I'll send you the information you need for the 800# voicemail service). The price is the current price from now until the end of the season and takes into account how much of the season has already been completed.

NFL & COLLEGE FOOTBALL SEASON
Get all of my NFL and College Football Best Bets and Strong Opinions for the full season, including Bowl games, the NFL Playoffs, and the Superbowl. I am 56% lifetime over 22 years on my Football Best Bets and 54% on my Strong Opinion in football, but I spend each off-season improving my time-proven handicapping methods.
You will receive an email with the analysis of all Best Bets and Strong Opinions and you'll have access to my Football Best Bets release page (details will be emailed to you before the season), which releases the Best Bets one by one at exactly the same time to every member.
Season price is lowered each week and reflects what amount of the season is remaining.

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