Friday, January 27, 2012

Last Game In NFL Season Coming Up!

Super Bowl Analysis Available Early Next Week.

Championship Round Recap and Season Results
I lost my 2-Star Best Bet on San Francisco, who actually played better than I thought from the line of scrimmage (5.8 yards per play to 4.2 yppl for the Giants), but it's hard to predict the Niners would be -2 in turnovers (both fumbles on punt returns) given that they were +32 in turnover margin heading into the game. My lean on the Baltimore-New England Under won (I had no opinion on the side).

For the season I am just 18-20-1 on sports investing for my NFL Best Bets (40-43-2 on Stars) and very good 27-10 on my Strong Opinions. With the close loss on the Niners I am now an unlucky 6-10 on Best Bets decided by less than 7 points (with one of those wins being the Dallas at New England game that was really not a close win since the Pats were down by 3 points before scoring late to win straight up and another being the Raiders +3 in week 15 when they gave up 2 late TD's to lose by 1 - that game was never in doubt spread wise - so I'm really 4-10 on toss-up games this season). It’s a shame that the games I’ve considered as possible Best Bets are 45-30-1 (that's the record of the Best Bets and Strong Opinions combined) while the Best Bets are just 18-20-1, but my methods are obviously working well overall, which is a good sign for next season.

I’ve had a good grasp on football handicapping NFL overall this season given that I’m actually 144-102-6 ATS picking every NFL side (with 14 no opinions), and it's pretty random that my Best Bets haven't won. I've never had a season in which my methods have worked so well and my analysis overall has been so good yet I've lost on my Best Bets. However, I'm excited about the performance of my new math model and I'm looking forward to being profitable next season.

NFL Math Model 264-206-10
I made some adjustments to my NFL math model, which started in week 5, and the new model was pretty good this year. The sides with 5 or more point differentials were 1-0 in week 17 (Houston) and the math was 1-0 on games with 3 or more point differences from the line (2.8 or more, actually). Throughout my sports betting advice for the season the games with differences of 3 points or more are now 46-32-1 ATS. The record of my NFL Math Model when the difference is 5 points or more (4.8 or more, actually) is now 264-206-10 (56%) since I started using my model in 2000. The math model forecasts for every game are included each week with my NFL Best Bets package starting in week 5.

Thursday, January 19, 2012

Dr. Bob's Championship Analysis Available for the Playoffs!!!

Championship Analysis for just $35 ($30 for Members)!!
I am 143-101-6 ATS with my sorts betting service this season picking every NFL side (with 13 no opinions) and 130-96-5 on all playoff sides the last 22 years (Best Bets, Strong Opinions and leans). I’ve won my only Playoff Best Bet so far (3-Stars on San Francisco last week) and this week I have a Best Bet on one of Sunday’s Championship games and an opinion on the other. You also get my NFL math model predictions.

Note: I’ve only posted the Best Bet on my site and I’ll post the analysis of the other game shortly – so make sure you’re logged in when you purchase so you can log back in later in the week to view the analysis of the other game.

Divisional Round Recap and Season Results
I only had one Best Bet in the Divisional Round of the playoffs and my 3-Star Best Bet on San Francisco +3 1/2 was a winner. That win was a little bit lucky given the +4 turnover but the 49ers did average 6.0 yards per play while the Saints averaged 5.9 yppl and they were a 3 1/2 point dog. My two leans on Denver and Green Bay both lost and the math model was 3-1 on sides and 3-1 on totals.

For the season I am just 18-19-1 on my NFL Best Bets (40-41-2 on Stars) and very good 27-10 on my Strong Opinions. I finally got a lucky win in week 17 but and I’m still an unlucky 6-9 on Best Bets decided by less than 7 points (with one of those wins being the Dallas at New England game that was really not a close win since the Pats were down by 3 points before scoring late to win straight up and another being the Raiders +3 in week 15 when they gave up 2 late TD's to lose by 1 - that game was never in doubt spread wise - so I'm really 4-9 on toss-up games this season). It’s a shame that the games I’ve considered as possible Best Bets are 45-29-1 (that's the record of the Best Bets and Strong Opinions combined) while the Best Bets are just 18-19-1, but my methods are obviously working well overall, which is a good sign going forward.

I’ve had a good grasp on my football analysis of the NFL overall this season given that I’m actually 144-101-6 ATS picking every NFL side (my Free Analysis was 101-76-6 ATS), and it's pretty random that my Best Bets haven't won. I've never had a season in which my methods have worked so well and my analysis overall has been so good, yet I've lost on my Best Bets.

NFL Math Model 264-206-10
I made some adjustments to the NFL math model in my sports investing, which started in week 5, and the new model was pretty good this year. The sides with 5 or more point differentials were 1-0 in week 17 (Houston) and the math was 1-0 on games with 3 or more point differences from the line (2.8 or more, actually). For the season the games with differences of 3 points or more are now 46-32-1 ATS. The record of my NFL Math Model when the difference is 5 points or more (4.8 or more, actually) is now 264-206-10 (56%) since I started using my model in 2000. The math model forecasts for every game are included each week with my NFL Best Bets package starting in week 5.

Friday, January 13, 2012

New Playoff Best Bets Available NOW!

NFL Playoff Analysis Available on Friday after Noon Pacific.
It's playoff time, and I have some great insights and sports betting advice available at my website to close out the season! I have one NFL 3-Star Best Bet this week and I'll have that Best Bet and analysis of the other 3 games available after Noon Pacific.

Wild Card Recap and Season Results
Last week I came away in the black with my football handicapping. I didn't have any Best Bets in the Wild Card round of the playoffs, but I did have a Strong Opinion on Detroit +10 1/2 that lost and two leans on Houston -4 and Denver +8 1/2 that both won. Overall, it was a successful week.

For the season I am just 17-19-1 on my NFL Best Bets (37-41-2 on Stars) and very good 27-10 on my Strong Opinions. I finally got a lucky win in week 17 but and I’m still an unlucky 6-9 on Best Bets decided by less than 7 points (with one of those wins being the Dallas at New England game that was really not a close win since the Pats were down by 3 points before scoring late to win straight up and another being the Raiders +3 in week 15 when they gave up 2 late TD's to lose by 1 - that game was never in doubt spread wise - so I'm really 4-9 on toss-up games this season). It’s a shame that the games I’ve considered as possible Best Bets are 44-29-1 (that's the record of the Best Bets and Strong Opinions combined) while the Best Bets are just 17-19-1, but my methods are obviously working well overall, which is a good sign going forward.

I’ve had a good grasp on my NFL sports investing overall this season given that I’m actually 143-99-6 ATS picking every NFL side (my Free Analysis was 101-76-6 ATS), and it's pretty random that my Best Bets haven't won. I've never had a season in which my methods have worked so well and my analysis overall has been so good yet I've lost on my Best Bets.

NFL Math Model 264-206-10
I made some adjustments to my NFL math model, which started in week 5, and the new model was pretty good this year. The sides with 5 or more point differentials were 1-0 in week 17 (Houston) and the math was 1-0 on games with 3 or more point differences from the line (2.8 or more, actually). For the season the games with differences of 3 points or more are now 46-32-1 ATS. The record of my NFL Math Model when the difference is 5 points or more (4.8 or more, actually) is now 264-206-10 (56%) since I started using my model in 2000. The math model forecasts for every game are included each week with my NFL Best Bets package starting in week 5.

Friday, January 6, 2012

College Football Bowl Package is Now Available from Dr. Bob

Although I've had another winning season for college football this year, I'm somewhat disappointed with my stats. Currently I'm at 56% win percentage overall against the spread. While this nets a nice profit for my sports investing clients, the number should actually be much higher.

Variance, which is a HUGE factor (especially in college football handicapping), struck in a big way this season against my best bets. I went -21 in fumbles lost this year, which is just horrible luck. Still, I managed to cover the spread by an average of 1.6 points, which is all but miraculous when faced with so much variance. This lead to an over all gain even though it wasn't what it should've been.

That said, the action continues with 35 Bowl games this year! I'm already 4-2 on my selection and I think that it's fair to say I should be 6-0 considering the unlikely endings of both my losses. For the rest of the bowl games I'm not gonna be offering weekly sports betting advice, though. Instead, I'm going to condense all the game analysis into a comprehensive "College Bowl Package". Check out my webpage for more details on how to sign up!