Friday, January 23, 2015

Free Basketball Analysis by Dr. Bob

My Thursday Free Analysis was 1-1 with opinions on Appalachian State (won) and Weber State (lost). My Free Analysis is 45-36-7 for the season (16-17-2 on Free Best Bets and 29-19-5 on Free Opinions). In the previous 7 seasons I was 92-74-4 on my Free Basketball Best Bets and 690-633-28 on my Free Basketball Opinions.

I was 1-1 on my Thursday Best Bets for a small loss but I'm 31-9-1 the last 12 days. My Basketball Best Bets are now 135-110-4 for the season (67-46-2 in the NBA and 68-64-3 in College, although 19-4-1 recently in college).

I have a Friday NBA Best Bet/Opinion below and I have 3 Friday Night Best Bets, 2 in the NBA and 1 in College, for just $15 ($20 if you are not logged in). My NBA Best Bets are 37-15-1 recently and 137-93-5 (59%) since early last season and I’m 19-4-1 the past 12 days on my College Best Bets.


Opinion – PHILADELPHIA (+12 ½) over Toronto

04:00 PM Pacific Rotation: 802
Regular season home dogs of 11 points or more that are coming off a loss are 122-80-5 ATS the last 25 seasons in the NBA and Philadelphia is 4-0 ATS this season as a home underdog of 11 points or more. The fact that Toronto is coming off a loss at Memphis actually doesn’t matter based on history, as the record for home dogs of 11 or more off a loss is 38-21-2 ATS if the visiting team is also off a loss. Philadelphia also applies to a 175-89-4 ATS big underdog situation and the Raptors have been struggling (3-8 straight up and 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games). My ratings based on current lineups do favor the Raptors by 13 points, so there isn’t any line value here, but I’ll still lean with Philadelphia based on the historically good situation.