Tuesday, July 15, 2014

Recap Monday, July 14, 2014

It's our 4th consecutive net positive day on the strength of 6 wins in our last 8 plays, and after 3.5 months of betting baseball, we look forward to several days off before resuming our fine 2014 MLB season. 

Our Sunday split featured just a modest gain, but we'll happily add to our season tally. 

The Cardinals (+107) play at Milwaukee was just a flat-out bad call on my part, as the Brewers rolled up 19 hits and got a stellar outing from Wily Peralta (7IP, 0ER, 1R, 3H, 5SO, 0BB) in an 11-2 rout. As has been the case this season more often than not, though, we coupled that quickly with an equally solid win, as the Twins (+114) scored 5 in the 1st at Colorado, then broke open a tight lead in the late innings to blow out the Rockies, 13-5, racking up 18 hits in the process.

That brings us home into the Break with a +20.86 units/stars season in progress. 

By month... 

April: 33-25-2 (56.67%) +13.46 units/stars 
May: 37-29-2 (55.88%) +16.71 units/stars 
June: 31-34-2 (47.76%) -14.63 units/stars 
July (partial): 14-11-1 (55.77%) +5.32 units/stars 

Only the chronic splits of June have prevented this from being an epic season. As it stands now, we'll simply have to settle for being on pace for a great season. In addition to our daily plays, of course, we have our season win totals and futures plays pending, as well. I'll send out a status report email during the Break on all of those. 

I have every expectation that our season will continue its upward trend when we resume Friday with our daily plays, continuing through the end of the regular season and postseason. As mentioned in my email back in March, the strategy would be to tread lightly at the outset of the season and right after the All-Star Break when results have historically been more squirrelly with my analytics. That approach served us very well in April and I intend to see that through when we get back before opening it up again late this month. 

In the meantime, enjoy the Home Run Derby and All-Star Game... 

Sunday: 1-1-0 (+0.28 units/stars) 
2014 MLB Regular Season: 115-99-7 (53.62%) (+20.86 units/stars) 

Tuesday, July 1, 2014

Baseball Recap Tuesday, July 01, 2014

It's no secret that June wasn't nearly as fun as April and May were. Here's our month-by-month breakdown: 

April: 33-25-2 (56.67%) +13.46 units/stars 
May: 37-29-2 (55.88%) +16.71 units/stars 
June: 31-34-2 (47.76%) -14.63 units/stars 

Judging by some of the emails I received, you'd have thought we had dropped 146 units this past month, but, really, while still bad, June was more of a protracted splitfest than anything else. And again, if those two White Sox grand slam losses on June 7th, up 5-0 in the 8th, and June 28th, up 4-0 in the 8th, go our way, it's just a -5.53 units month. Oh well. They happened. Just putting things in perspective, though. 

Onward to July... 

Monday: 2-0-0 (+5.30 units/stars) 
2014 MLB Regular Season: 101-88-6 (53.33%) (+15.54 units/stars)