Mike O’Connor’s only Wild Card week Best Bet was a push, as he had a 2-Star Best Bet on Green Bay +3 against the 49ers, a game the Niners won with a field goal as time expired.
For the season Mike O'Connor's NFL Best Bets are now 37-32-4 and +0.2 Stars but his level of handicapping has actually been as good or better than his 58% Best Bet percentage over his 8 years as a public handicapper (325-234-17). Mike's performance this season cannot be judged on his record, which is actually pretty good considering how unlucky he's been this year as an average handicapper would be at 47% with the kind of luck Mike has endured.
I have always kept a ledger to grade my Best Bets honestly and over time my graded percentage is the same as my actual winning percentage because the luck tends to even out over a longer time period. However, there are seasons in which variance plays a role in making a handicapper's record considerably better than it should be or considerably worse. I’m not handicapping the NFL personally this season but I keep a log of Mike O’Connor’s NFL Best Bets and grade those games too. You probably already realize this if you’ve been paying attention, but Mike’s record should be much better than 37-32-4 given the bad luck he’s had this season, as his handicapping has been just as good as it’s been over his 8 years hitting 58% while his results this year have been heavily influenced by negative variance.
Week 19 NFL Playoff Analysis Available Friday
