Thursday, February 23, 2012

Dr. Bob Basket Ball Analysis Available Today!

Thursday Basketball Available around 3:10 pm Pacific.

Best Bets 196-145-3 on Stars since January 12th
I was 3-1 on my Wednesday Best Bets for +3.8 Stars. I won my NBA 2-Star Best Bet on Orlando -6 (won by 17). I won my 2-Star Best Bet on Purdue -10 (won by 18). I won my 2-Star Best Bet on Notre Dame -2 1/2 (won by 27). I lost my 2-Star Best Bet on Illinois State +6 (lost by 13). Overall, a good night of sports handicapping at 6-2 on Stars for +3.8 Stars at -1.10 odds. I've recovered a lot in the past 6 weeks after a slow start to my season. My low point this season was -26.7 Stars, but I'm +39.2 Stars of profit since then and I expect to be solidly profitable by season's end like I usually am.

I am now 138-117-3 on my Basketball Best Bets and 326-285-7 on a Star Basis (1-1 on 4-Stars, 48-49-1 on 3-Stars and 89-67-2 on 2-Stars) for +12.5 Stars at -1.10 odds. I'm only up just over 10 Stars so far but I've come back from being down big early in the season and I'm likely to win going forward given that I'm +513.2 Stars of profit the last 14 seasons and have averaged over 40 Stars of profit over my 24 years and thousands of Best Bets.

Subscriptions through the NCAA Tournament and NBA Finals
You can purchase Basketball Best Bets daily for just $15 and I also have packages that go through the NCAA Tournament and through the NBA Finals for about $9 a day. Now's the time to start sports investing if you're not already!

Note: The 28 day subscription is no longer available since it overlaps with the start of the NCAA Tournament. I do have a subscription package that goes through the end of the NCAA Tournament and the price of that package goes down every week.

2010/2011 Season Results
Best Bets 442-375-16 on a Star Basis

I lost my 2-Star Best Bet on the Under but the win by Dallas resulted in a profit of +3.2 Stars on the series (2-Stars risked at +1.60 odds). I had Dallas rated as the best team in the NBA heading into the playoffs and that proved to be the case. In the playoffs I was 12-10 on Best Bets (despite losing a 5 point dog in OT), 14-9-2 on Strong Opinions, 16-21 on leans and 3-0 on Series Bets for +11.0 Stars (1 Star on Memphis over San Antonio for +3.3 Stars, 1.5 Stars on Dallas over the Lakers for +4.5 Stars, and 2 Stars on Dallas over the Heat for +3.2 Stars).

I had another profitable season of Basketball handicapping for my Best Bets despite losing more close games than I won (15-21 on Best Bets decided by 1 point or less). For the season I was 442-375-16 on a Star Basis (3-2 on 4-Stars, 59-53-2 on 3-Stars and 121-104-5 on 2-Stars and 3-0 on playoff series bets for +11.0 Stars) for a profit of +29.5 Stars at -1.10 odds. Had I gone 18-18 on those close games I would have profited another 14 Stars, so I'm satisfied with my level of handicapping despite not profiting as much as I usually do in Basketball.

Basketball Best Bets +500.7 Stars Last 13 Seasons!
My Basketball Best Bets are 6609-5553-265 on a Star Basis the last 13 seasons, for a profit of +500.7 Stars at -1.10 odds, and I’m 55% on my Basketball Best Bets over 24 seasons.

Free Analysis
I post free analysis almost every day during basketball season on anywhere from 1 to 5 games and those opinions have been profitable over the years.

I won both of my Wednesday College Best Bets and lost both of my NBA opinions. I'm 7-4 on my free Best Bets and 67-68-2 on my free opinions this season.

Last season I was 12-6 on my free Best Bets and 105-88-2 on my free opinions and I am 38-30-1 on my Free Best Bets and 428-378-12 on my free opinions the previous 4 seasons.

Thursday Basketball Available around 3:10 pm Pacific.

Friday, February 17, 2012

Dr. Bob's Best Bets for Basketball

Best Bets 171-123-3 on Stars since January 12th
I am now 7-2 for the week on my basketball handicapping Best Bets after going 3-0 on Thursday night thanks to a couple of close wins. I easily won my 2-Star Best Bet on Michigan State -6, as the Spartans won by 14 after building a 21 point lead. I barely won my 2-Star Best Bet on the Chicago Bulls -8, as they won by 9 in a game that could have gone either way. My last Best Bet, a 2-Star on Stanford -4, got close at the end thanks to some missed free throws as Stanford was up by 10 with 2 1/2 minutes left but missed 6 free throws down the stretch to only win by 5 points. It's nice to win a couple of close games, as those were the kind of games I was losing early in the season. I've recovered a lot in the past 5 weeks after a slow start to my season. My low point this season was -26.7 Stars, but I'm +38.4 Stars of profit since then and I expect to be solidly profitable by season's end like I usually am.

I am now 126-108-3 on my Basketball Analysis Best Bets and 301-263-7 on a Star Basis (1-1 on 4-Stars, 47-45-1 on 3-Stars and 78-62-2 on 2-Stars) for +11.7 Stars at -1.10 odds. I'm only up a little so far but I've come back from being down big early in the season and I'm likely to win going forward given that I'm +512.4 Stars of profit the last 14 seasons and have averaged over 40 Stars of profit over my 24 years and thousands of Best Bets.

Subscriptions through the NCAA Tournament and NBA Finals
You can purchase Basketball Best Bets daily for just $15 and I also have packages that go through the NCAA Tournament and through the NBA Finals for about $9 a day.

Note: The 28 day subscription is no longer available since it overlaps with the start of the NCAA Tournament. I do have a subscription package that goes through the end of the NCAA Tournament and the price of that package goes down every week.

2010/2011 Season Results
Best Bets 442-375-16 on a Star Basis

I lost my 2-Star Best Bet on the Under but the win by Dallas resulted in a profit of +3.2 Stars on the series (2-Stars risked at +1.60 odds). I had Dallas rated as the best team in the NBA heading into the playoffs and that proved to be the case. In the playoffs I was 12-10 on Best Bets (despite losing a 5 point dog in OT), 14-9-2 on Strong Opinions, 16-21 on leans and 3-0 on Series Bets for +11.0 Stars (1 Star on Memphis over San Antonio for +3.3 Stars, 1.5 Stars on Dallas over the Lakers for +4.5 Stars, and 2 Stars on Dallas over the Heat for +3.2 Stars).

Sports handicapping is never easy, but I had another profitable season of Basketball Best Bets despite losing more close games than I won (15-21 on Best Bets decided by 1 point or less). For the season I was 442-375-16 on a Star Basis (3-2 on 4-Stars, 59-53-2 on 3-Stars and 121-104-5 on 2-Stars and 3-0 on playoff series bets for +11.0 Stars) for a profit of +29.5 Stars at -1.10 odds. Had I gone 18-18 on those close games I would have profited another 14 Stars, so I'm satisfied with my level of handicapping despite not profiting as much as I usually do in Basketball.

Basketball Best Bets +500.7 Stars Last 13 Seasons!
My Basketball Best Bets are 6609-5553-265 on a Star Basis the last 13 seasons, for a profit of +500.7 Stars at -1.10 odds, and I’m 55% on my Basketball Best Bets over 24 seasons.

Thursday, February 9, 2012

Dr. Bob Recaps His Football Handicapping This Season

SuperBowl Recap and Season Results
What a game! It turned out to be one of the tightest in my entire sports handicapping career. I didn't have a lean on the side, but my Strong Opinion on the Under was an easy winner in Super Bowl 45. My propositions were a mixed bag, as I won my Strong Opinion on Manning (+10 1/2) over Brady in passing yards (or Brady under 320 1/2 yards), I pushed my 2nd Half being higher scoring (a loss for some that had to lay 1/2 a point thanks to a missed 2 point conversion attempt) and I lost my 4th quarter being the highest scoring quarter at +175 odds.

For the season, my sports betting service did pretty well again. Although I was just 18-20-1 on my NFL Best Bets (40-43-2 on Stars), I did very good (28-10) on my Strong Opinions (and 1-1-1 on props). I was an unlucky 6-10 on Best Bets decided by less than 7 points (with one of those wins being the Dallas at New England game that was really not a close win since the Pats were down by 3 points before scoring late to win straight up and another being the Raiders +3 in week 15 when they gave up 2 late TD's to lose by 1 - that game was never in doubt spread wise - so I'm really 4-10 on toss-up games this season). It’s a shame that the games I’ve considered as possible Best Bets are 46-30-1 (that's the record of the Best Bets and Strong Opinions combined) while the Best Bets are just 18-20-1, but my methods obviously worked well overall, which is a good sign for next season.

I had a good grasp on my football analysis overall this season given that I’m actually 144-102-6 ATS picking every NFL side (with 15 no opinions), and it's pretty random that my Best Bets haven't won. I've never had a season in which my methods have worked so well and my analysis overall has been so good yet I've lost on my Best Bets. However, I'm excited about the performance of my new math model and I'm looking forward to being profitable next season.

NFL Math Model 264-206-10
I made some adjustments to my NFL math model, which started in week 5, and the new model was pretty good this year. The sides with 5 or more point differentials were 1-0 in week 17 (Houston) and the math was 1-0 on games with 3 or more point differences from the line (2.8 or more, actually). For the season the games with differences of 3 points or more are now 46-32-1 ATS. The record of my NFL Math Model when the difference is 5 points or more (4.8 or more, actually) is now 264-206-10 (56%) since I started using my model in 2000. The math model forecasts for every game are included each week with my NFL Best Bets package starting in week 5.

Friday, February 3, 2012

Last NFL Game to Bet On!

Super Bowl Analysis for just $35 ($30 for Members)!!
In my sports handicapping in the final week of the NFL season, I don’t have a 'Best Bet' but I do have a 'Strong Opinion' on the total and 'Strong Opinions' on 3 Super Bowl propositions. (Man prop bets are fun and there are some good ones this year!) Included in my analysis you also get my NFL math model prediction.

Championship Round Recap and Season Results
I lost my '2-Star Best Bet' on San Francisco, who actually played better than I thought from the line of scrimmage (5.8 yards per play to 4.2 yppl for the Giants), but it's hard to predict the Niners would be -2 in turnovers (both fumbles on punt returns) given that they were +32 in turnover margin heading into the game. In the AFC, my sports betting service opted for a lean on the Baltimore-New England Under and won! (I had no opinion on the side, hence the lean).

For the season I am just 18-20-1 on my 'NFL Best Bets' (40-43-2 on Stars) and very good 27-10 on my 'Strong Opinions'. With the close loss on the Niners I am now an unlucky 6-10 on Best Bets decided by less than 7 points (with one of those wins being the Dallas at New England game that was really not a close win since the Pats were down by 3 points before scoring late to win straight up and another being the Raiders +3 in week 15 when they gave up 2 late TD's to lose by 1 - that game was never in doubt spread wise - so I'm really 4-10 on toss-up games this season). It’s a shame that the games I’ve considered as possible Best Bets are 45-30-1 (that's the record of the 'Best Bets' and 'Strong Opinions' combined) while the 'Best Bets' are just 18-20-1, but my methods are obviously working well overall, which is a good sign for next season.

I’ve had a good grasp on football analysis for the NFL overall this season given that I’m actually 144-102-6 ATS picking every NFL side (with 14 no opinions), and it's pretty random that my Best Bets haven't won. I've never had a season in which my methods have worked so well and my analysis overall has been so good yet I've lost on my 'Best Bets'. However, I'm excited about the performance of my new math model and I'm looking forward to being profitable next season.

NFL Math Model 264-206-10
I made some adjustments to my NFL math model, which started in week 5, and the new model was pretty good this year. The sides with 5 or more point differentials were 1-0 in week 17 (Houston) and the math was 1-0 on games with 3 or more point differences from the line (2.8 or more, actually). For the season the games with differences of 3 points or more are now 46-32-1 ATS. The record of my NFL Math Model when the difference is 5 points or more (4.8 or more, actually) is now 264-206-10 (56%) since I started using my model in 2000. The math model forecasts for every game are included each week with my 'NFL Best Bets' package starting in week 5.