Friday, February 17, 2012

Dr. Bob's Best Bets for Basketball

Best Bets 171-123-3 on Stars since January 12th
I am now 7-2 for the week on my basketball handicapping Best Bets after going 3-0 on Thursday night thanks to a couple of close wins. I easily won my 2-Star Best Bet on Michigan State -6, as the Spartans won by 14 after building a 21 point lead. I barely won my 2-Star Best Bet on the Chicago Bulls -8, as they won by 9 in a game that could have gone either way. My last Best Bet, a 2-Star on Stanford -4, got close at the end thanks to some missed free throws as Stanford was up by 10 with 2 1/2 minutes left but missed 6 free throws down the stretch to only win by 5 points. It's nice to win a couple of close games, as those were the kind of games I was losing early in the season. I've recovered a lot in the past 5 weeks after a slow start to my season. My low point this season was -26.7 Stars, but I'm +38.4 Stars of profit since then and I expect to be solidly profitable by season's end like I usually am.

I am now 126-108-3 on my Basketball Analysis Best Bets and 301-263-7 on a Star Basis (1-1 on 4-Stars, 47-45-1 on 3-Stars and 78-62-2 on 2-Stars) for +11.7 Stars at -1.10 odds. I'm only up a little so far but I've come back from being down big early in the season and I'm likely to win going forward given that I'm +512.4 Stars of profit the last 14 seasons and have averaged over 40 Stars of profit over my 24 years and thousands of Best Bets.

Subscriptions through the NCAA Tournament and NBA Finals
You can purchase Basketball Best Bets daily for just $15 and I also have packages that go through the NCAA Tournament and through the NBA Finals for about $9 a day.

Note: The 28 day subscription is no longer available since it overlaps with the start of the NCAA Tournament. I do have a subscription package that goes through the end of the NCAA Tournament and the price of that package goes down every week.

2010/2011 Season Results
Best Bets 442-375-16 on a Star Basis

I lost my 2-Star Best Bet on the Under but the win by Dallas resulted in a profit of +3.2 Stars on the series (2-Stars risked at +1.60 odds). I had Dallas rated as the best team in the NBA heading into the playoffs and that proved to be the case. In the playoffs I was 12-10 on Best Bets (despite losing a 5 point dog in OT), 14-9-2 on Strong Opinions, 16-21 on leans and 3-0 on Series Bets for +11.0 Stars (1 Star on Memphis over San Antonio for +3.3 Stars, 1.5 Stars on Dallas over the Lakers for +4.5 Stars, and 2 Stars on Dallas over the Heat for +3.2 Stars).

Sports handicapping is never easy, but I had another profitable season of Basketball Best Bets despite losing more close games than I won (15-21 on Best Bets decided by 1 point or less). For the season I was 442-375-16 on a Star Basis (3-2 on 4-Stars, 59-53-2 on 3-Stars and 121-104-5 on 2-Stars and 3-0 on playoff series bets for +11.0 Stars) for a profit of +29.5 Stars at -1.10 odds. Had I gone 18-18 on those close games I would have profited another 14 Stars, so I'm satisfied with my level of handicapping despite not profiting as much as I usually do in Basketball.

Basketball Best Bets +500.7 Stars Last 13 Seasons!
My Basketball Best Bets are 6609-5553-265 on a Star Basis the last 13 seasons, for a profit of +500.7 Stars at -1.10 odds, and I’m 55% on my Basketball Best Bets over 24 seasons.

Thursday, February 9, 2012

Dr. Bob Recaps His Football Handicapping This Season

SuperBowl Recap and Season Results
What a game! It turned out to be one of the tightest in my entire sports handicapping career. I didn't have a lean on the side, but my Strong Opinion on the Under was an easy winner in Super Bowl 45. My propositions were a mixed bag, as I won my Strong Opinion on Manning (+10 1/2) over Brady in passing yards (or Brady under 320 1/2 yards), I pushed my 2nd Half being higher scoring (a loss for some that had to lay 1/2 a point thanks to a missed 2 point conversion attempt) and I lost my 4th quarter being the highest scoring quarter at +175 odds.

For the season, my sports betting service did pretty well again. Although I was just 18-20-1 on my NFL Best Bets (40-43-2 on Stars), I did very good (28-10) on my Strong Opinions (and 1-1-1 on props). I was an unlucky 6-10 on Best Bets decided by less than 7 points (with one of those wins being the Dallas at New England game that was really not a close win since the Pats were down by 3 points before scoring late to win straight up and another being the Raiders +3 in week 15 when they gave up 2 late TD's to lose by 1 - that game was never in doubt spread wise - so I'm really 4-10 on toss-up games this season). It’s a shame that the games I’ve considered as possible Best Bets are 46-30-1 (that's the record of the Best Bets and Strong Opinions combined) while the Best Bets are just 18-20-1, but my methods obviously worked well overall, which is a good sign for next season.

I had a good grasp on my football analysis overall this season given that I’m actually 144-102-6 ATS picking every NFL side (with 15 no opinions), and it's pretty random that my Best Bets haven't won. I've never had a season in which my methods have worked so well and my analysis overall has been so good yet I've lost on my Best Bets. However, I'm excited about the performance of my new math model and I'm looking forward to being profitable next season.

NFL Math Model 264-206-10
I made some adjustments to my NFL math model, which started in week 5, and the new model was pretty good this year. The sides with 5 or more point differentials were 1-0 in week 17 (Houston) and the math was 1-0 on games with 3 or more point differences from the line (2.8 or more, actually). For the season the games with differences of 3 points or more are now 46-32-1 ATS. The record of my NFL Math Model when the difference is 5 points or more (4.8 or more, actually) is now 264-206-10 (56%) since I started using my model in 2000. The math model forecasts for every game are included each week with my NFL Best Bets package starting in week 5.

Friday, February 3, 2012

Last NFL Game to Bet On!

Super Bowl Analysis for just $35 ($30 for Members)!!
In my sports handicapping in the final week of the NFL season, I don’t have a 'Best Bet' but I do have a 'Strong Opinion' on the total and 'Strong Opinions' on 3 Super Bowl propositions. (Man prop bets are fun and there are some good ones this year!) Included in my analysis you also get my NFL math model prediction.

Championship Round Recap and Season Results
I lost my '2-Star Best Bet' on San Francisco, who actually played better than I thought from the line of scrimmage (5.8 yards per play to 4.2 yppl for the Giants), but it's hard to predict the Niners would be -2 in turnovers (both fumbles on punt returns) given that they were +32 in turnover margin heading into the game. In the AFC, my sports betting service opted for a lean on the Baltimore-New England Under and won! (I had no opinion on the side, hence the lean).

For the season I am just 18-20-1 on my 'NFL Best Bets' (40-43-2 on Stars) and very good 27-10 on my 'Strong Opinions'. With the close loss on the Niners I am now an unlucky 6-10 on Best Bets decided by less than 7 points (with one of those wins being the Dallas at New England game that was really not a close win since the Pats were down by 3 points before scoring late to win straight up and another being the Raiders +3 in week 15 when they gave up 2 late TD's to lose by 1 - that game was never in doubt spread wise - so I'm really 4-10 on toss-up games this season). It’s a shame that the games I’ve considered as possible Best Bets are 45-30-1 (that's the record of the 'Best Bets' and 'Strong Opinions' combined) while the 'Best Bets' are just 18-20-1, but my methods are obviously working well overall, which is a good sign for next season.

I’ve had a good grasp on football analysis for the NFL overall this season given that I’m actually 144-102-6 ATS picking every NFL side (with 14 no opinions), and it's pretty random that my Best Bets haven't won. I've never had a season in which my methods have worked so well and my analysis overall has been so good yet I've lost on my 'Best Bets'. However, I'm excited about the performance of my new math model and I'm looking forward to being profitable next season.

NFL Math Model 264-206-10
I made some adjustments to my NFL math model, which started in week 5, and the new model was pretty good this year. The sides with 5 or more point differentials were 1-0 in week 17 (Houston) and the math was 1-0 on games with 3 or more point differences from the line (2.8 or more, actually). For the season the games with differences of 3 points or more are now 46-32-1 ATS. The record of my NFL Math Model when the difference is 5 points or more (4.8 or more, actually) is now 264-206-10 (56%) since I started using my model in 2000. The math model forecasts for every game are included each week with my 'NFL Best Bets' package starting in week 5.

Friday, January 27, 2012

Last Game In NFL Season Coming Up!

Super Bowl Analysis Available Early Next Week.

Championship Round Recap and Season Results
I lost my 2-Star Best Bet on San Francisco, who actually played better than I thought from the line of scrimmage (5.8 yards per play to 4.2 yppl for the Giants), but it's hard to predict the Niners would be -2 in turnovers (both fumbles on punt returns) given that they were +32 in turnover margin heading into the game. My lean on the Baltimore-New England Under won (I had no opinion on the side).

For the season I am just 18-20-1 on sports investing for my NFL Best Bets (40-43-2 on Stars) and very good 27-10 on my Strong Opinions. With the close loss on the Niners I am now an unlucky 6-10 on Best Bets decided by less than 7 points (with one of those wins being the Dallas at New England game that was really not a close win since the Pats were down by 3 points before scoring late to win straight up and another being the Raiders +3 in week 15 when they gave up 2 late TD's to lose by 1 - that game was never in doubt spread wise - so I'm really 4-10 on toss-up games this season). It’s a shame that the games I’ve considered as possible Best Bets are 45-30-1 (that's the record of the Best Bets and Strong Opinions combined) while the Best Bets are just 18-20-1, but my methods are obviously working well overall, which is a good sign for next season.

I’ve had a good grasp on football handicapping NFL overall this season given that I’m actually 144-102-6 ATS picking every NFL side (with 14 no opinions), and it's pretty random that my Best Bets haven't won. I've never had a season in which my methods have worked so well and my analysis overall has been so good yet I've lost on my Best Bets. However, I'm excited about the performance of my new math model and I'm looking forward to being profitable next season.

NFL Math Model 264-206-10
I made some adjustments to my NFL math model, which started in week 5, and the new model was pretty good this year. The sides with 5 or more point differentials were 1-0 in week 17 (Houston) and the math was 1-0 on games with 3 or more point differences from the line (2.8 or more, actually). Throughout my sports betting advice for the season the games with differences of 3 points or more are now 46-32-1 ATS. The record of my NFL Math Model when the difference is 5 points or more (4.8 or more, actually) is now 264-206-10 (56%) since I started using my model in 2000. The math model forecasts for every game are included each week with my NFL Best Bets package starting in week 5.

Thursday, January 19, 2012

Dr. Bob's Championship Analysis Available for the Playoffs!!!

Championship Analysis for just $35 ($30 for Members)!!
I am 143-101-6 ATS with my sorts betting service this season picking every NFL side (with 13 no opinions) and 130-96-5 on all playoff sides the last 22 years (Best Bets, Strong Opinions and leans). I’ve won my only Playoff Best Bet so far (3-Stars on San Francisco last week) and this week I have a Best Bet on one of Sunday’s Championship games and an opinion on the other. You also get my NFL math model predictions.

Note: I’ve only posted the Best Bet on my site and I’ll post the analysis of the other game shortly – so make sure you’re logged in when you purchase so you can log back in later in the week to view the analysis of the other game.

Divisional Round Recap and Season Results
I only had one Best Bet in the Divisional Round of the playoffs and my 3-Star Best Bet on San Francisco +3 1/2 was a winner. That win was a little bit lucky given the +4 turnover but the 49ers did average 6.0 yards per play while the Saints averaged 5.9 yppl and they were a 3 1/2 point dog. My two leans on Denver and Green Bay both lost and the math model was 3-1 on sides and 3-1 on totals.

For the season I am just 18-19-1 on my NFL Best Bets (40-41-2 on Stars) and very good 27-10 on my Strong Opinions. I finally got a lucky win in week 17 but and I’m still an unlucky 6-9 on Best Bets decided by less than 7 points (with one of those wins being the Dallas at New England game that was really not a close win since the Pats were down by 3 points before scoring late to win straight up and another being the Raiders +3 in week 15 when they gave up 2 late TD's to lose by 1 - that game was never in doubt spread wise - so I'm really 4-9 on toss-up games this season). It’s a shame that the games I’ve considered as possible Best Bets are 45-29-1 (that's the record of the Best Bets and Strong Opinions combined) while the Best Bets are just 18-19-1, but my methods are obviously working well overall, which is a good sign going forward.

I’ve had a good grasp on my football analysis of the NFL overall this season given that I’m actually 144-101-6 ATS picking every NFL side (my Free Analysis was 101-76-6 ATS), and it's pretty random that my Best Bets haven't won. I've never had a season in which my methods have worked so well and my analysis overall has been so good, yet I've lost on my Best Bets.

NFL Math Model 264-206-10
I made some adjustments to the NFL math model in my sports investing, which started in week 5, and the new model was pretty good this year. The sides with 5 or more point differentials were 1-0 in week 17 (Houston) and the math was 1-0 on games with 3 or more point differences from the line (2.8 or more, actually). For the season the games with differences of 3 points or more are now 46-32-1 ATS. The record of my NFL Math Model when the difference is 5 points or more (4.8 or more, actually) is now 264-206-10 (56%) since I started using my model in 2000. The math model forecasts for every game are included each week with my NFL Best Bets package starting in week 5.

Friday, January 13, 2012

New Playoff Best Bets Available NOW!

NFL Playoff Analysis Available on Friday after Noon Pacific.
It's playoff time, and I have some great insights and sports betting advice available at my website to close out the season! I have one NFL 3-Star Best Bet this week and I'll have that Best Bet and analysis of the other 3 games available after Noon Pacific.

Wild Card Recap and Season Results
Last week I came away in the black with my football handicapping. I didn't have any Best Bets in the Wild Card round of the playoffs, but I did have a Strong Opinion on Detroit +10 1/2 that lost and two leans on Houston -4 and Denver +8 1/2 that both won. Overall, it was a successful week.

For the season I am just 17-19-1 on my NFL Best Bets (37-41-2 on Stars) and very good 27-10 on my Strong Opinions. I finally got a lucky win in week 17 but and I’m still an unlucky 6-9 on Best Bets decided by less than 7 points (with one of those wins being the Dallas at New England game that was really not a close win since the Pats were down by 3 points before scoring late to win straight up and another being the Raiders +3 in week 15 when they gave up 2 late TD's to lose by 1 - that game was never in doubt spread wise - so I'm really 4-9 on toss-up games this season). It’s a shame that the games I’ve considered as possible Best Bets are 44-29-1 (that's the record of the Best Bets and Strong Opinions combined) while the Best Bets are just 17-19-1, but my methods are obviously working well overall, which is a good sign going forward.

I’ve had a good grasp on my NFL sports investing overall this season given that I’m actually 143-99-6 ATS picking every NFL side (my Free Analysis was 101-76-6 ATS), and it's pretty random that my Best Bets haven't won. I've never had a season in which my methods have worked so well and my analysis overall has been so good yet I've lost on my Best Bets.

NFL Math Model 264-206-10
I made some adjustments to my NFL math model, which started in week 5, and the new model was pretty good this year. The sides with 5 or more point differentials were 1-0 in week 17 (Houston) and the math was 1-0 on games with 3 or more point differences from the line (2.8 or more, actually). For the season the games with differences of 3 points or more are now 46-32-1 ATS. The record of my NFL Math Model when the difference is 5 points or more (4.8 or more, actually) is now 264-206-10 (56%) since I started using my model in 2000. The math model forecasts for every game are included each week with my NFL Best Bets package starting in week 5.

Friday, January 6, 2012

College Football Bowl Package is Now Available from Dr. Bob

Although I've had another winning season for college football this year, I'm somewhat disappointed with my stats. Currently I'm at 56% win percentage overall against the spread. While this nets a nice profit for my sports investing clients, the number should actually be much higher.

Variance, which is a HUGE factor (especially in college football handicapping), struck in a big way this season against my best bets. I went -21 in fumbles lost this year, which is just horrible luck. Still, I managed to cover the spread by an average of 1.6 points, which is all but miraculous when faced with so much variance. This lead to an over all gain even though it wasn't what it should've been.

That said, the action continues with 35 Bowl games this year! I'm already 4-2 on my selection and I think that it's fair to say I should be 6-0 considering the unlikely endings of both my losses. For the rest of the bowl games I'm not gonna be offering weekly sports betting advice, though. Instead, I'm going to condense all the game analysis into a comprehensive "College Bowl Package". Check out my webpage for more details on how to sign up!