Mike O’Connor’s week 15 NFL Best Bets were 2-2 for -0.5 Stars of profit, which ended a 3 week winning streak. However, Mike's Best Bets are still 11-5-1 the last 4 weeks for +14.5 Stars after suffering through some bad luck earlier in the season.
The 2-Star Best Bet on the New York Giants +7 lost 0-23 as Eli Manning threw 5 interceptions (4 really since one of them was a hail mary at the end of the half). New York's defense did a good job holding Seattle to 4.9 yards per play but the offense was horrendous.
The 3-Star Best Bet on Buffalo -2 was a 27-20 winner but this game could have gone either way as the Bills gained 368 yards at 5.3 yards per play while Jacksonville had 354 yards at 4.9 yppl. Buffalo was the better team but the +2 in turnovers helped and I'll put this game in a toss-up win category, which have been rare this season.
The 3-Star Best Bet on Cleveland +1.5 looked good for most of the game before the Bears' offense got going in the second half and the Browns lost 31-38. Ultimately, the Bears proved to be the better team and compiled 441 yards at 7.1 yppl to Cleveland's 366 yards at 6.5 yppl.
The 2-Star Best Bet on the Jets +10 1/2 looked pretty solid most of the game with the Jets down 13-16 and with the ball late in 3rd quarter. However, Carolina blocked a punt that set them up at the 14 yard line and that short field was converted into a touchdown for a 10 point lead (but NYJ was still covering). A few plays later Carolina had an interception return for a touchdown and it looked like a solid play was going to be put in the bad luck loss category. However, New York drove the ball down the field for the covering score in a 20-30 loss. New York gained 297 yards at 5.0 yppl while Carolina had 394 yards at 6.6 yppl. However, 72 yards came on one short pass that turned into a long TD and Carolina had trouble moving the ball otherwise. This one is tough to grade but the margin probably would have been 6 or 7 points without the randomness of the blocked punt and if Carolina kicked a field goal rather than being stopped on 4th and goal earlier in the game. If you watched the game then you know this game was competitive throughout. But, I don't want to appear at all biased in my grading so I'm going to put this one in the toss-up win category even though I do feel it was a solid play.
For the season Mike O'Connor's NFL Best Bets are now 33-29-3 and -2.1 Stars but as I’ve pointed out his level of handicapping has actually been as good or better than his 58% Best Bet percentage over his 8 years as a public handicapper (321-231-16). Mike's performance this season cannot be judged on his record, which is actually pretty good considering how unlucky he's been this year as an average handicapper would be at 40% with the kind of luck Mike has endured.
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