Friday, September 26, 2014

Week 4 NFL Trends from Dr. Bob

Two High Percentage Week 4 NFL Trends

For the first 3 games of the season teams that have struggled generally don’t perform well when installed as home favorites in game 4. Even more so if they are not coming off a bye week. In fact, as far back as 1983, Game 4 home favorites of more than one point with a losing record that played the previous week are just 27-69-2 ATS.

Play against Washington (Thursday), Indianapolis, and San Francisco

Kansas City’s 34-15 win last week at Miami should increase their confidence after a 0-2 start and game 4 underdogs of more than 1 point are 45-15-3 ATS if they won their first game of the season the previous week. It’s just 5-6 ATS on dogs of more than 8 points, so the record is 40-9-3 ATS when applying to underdogs from 1 ½ to 8 points.

Play on Kansas City and NY Giants (Thursday)

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