Wednesday, October 20, 2010

College Best Bets 61% for the Season!!

Sunday, October 17
College Best Bets 734-541-35 (58%) on a Star Basis Since 2004!!
Best Bets 25-16-1 This Season (58-39-2 on Stars)!
Week 7 Recap and Season Results
Best Bets Now 25-16-1 This Season

I had the most Best Bets I've ever had, giving out 14 Best Bets. I was 10-4 the last time I had 14 Best Bets, but things didn't go quite that well this week, as I was 7-7 on my 14 Best Bets - although I did show a profit since my higher ratings plays won. I won my only 4-Star Best Bet, as Oklahoma State (+3) won easily, as expected, 34-17 against Texas Tech. My 3-Star Best Bets were 3-2 for the week starting with Central Florida -5 1/2 (won 35-14) on Wednesday night (that game was posted for free on this page on Wednesday morning) and then splitting my Saturday 3-Stars with wins on Toledo -3 (won 34-21) and Hawaii (+7) (upset Nevada 27-21) and losses with Iowa State +23 1/2 (lost 0-52) and Troy State -19 (won 31-24). My 2-Stars were just 3-5 with wins on Kansas State -3 (won 59-7), Michigan State -7 (won 26-6) and Arkansas State +11 (lost 34-36) and losses on NC State -7 (lost 27-33), Vanderbilt +14 1/2 (lost 0-43), Cal +2 1/2 (lost 14-48), Nebraska -9 1/2 (lost 13-20) and Texas A&M -3 (lost 9-30). Oddly, my losses were all by big margins and my wins were all by at least 9 points too. Overall, it was 7-7, but a profitable 19-16 on a Star Basis. My Strong Opinions were 3-2 with wins on Baylor, Boston College and the SMU-Navy Under and losses with Ball State and TCU -29 (won by 28).

The line moves affected a few games, as NC State -7 was not a Best Bet at -7 1/2. The 3-Star on Toledo -3 turned in to a 2-Star after the line moved to -3 1/2 or -4. The 2-Star loss on Texas A&M was not a Best Bet when the line moved from -3 to -3 1/2 right after my release. My 3-Star win on Hawaii +7 was a 2-Star at +6 1/2 for those that got the plays after the line move and my 3-Star on Troy -19 was a 2-Star for those that got it at -20 1/2 after the line moved. So, those that got the plays after the line moves actually did better as 2-Star losses on NC State and Texas A&M were not Best Bets after the line moves. The record based on the lines after the release was 7-5 and 17-11 on a Star Basis. Of course, I base my record on the lines at the time of release to my subscribers, but sometimes the line moves actually help the results (people only seem to comment when they don't).

My record for the season is now 25-16-1 on Best Bets and 58-39-2 on a Star Basis (2-1 on 4-Stars, 4-5 on 3-Stars, 19-10-1 on 2-Stars) for a profit of +15.1 Stars at -1.10 odds. My Strong Opinions are 21-21-1 (19-15 on Sides and 2-7 on Totals). The record on the Best Bets based on the lines after they've moved is 23-14 and 52-33 on Stars (+15.7 Stars).

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