#2 Boise State (-37.5) 52 Louisiana Tech 14

Regardless of what the polls say, Boise State is the best team in the nation and they should win big again tonight. However, the point spread has caught up to how good the Broncos are and my math model favors Boise by 38 ½ points, which is very close to the line here.

Follow the link for the rest of my football analysis! 

Dr. Bob on SBR.tv's Week 8 NCAAF Experts' Roundtable

See Dr. Bob and the panel wrap up the Week 8 college football Experts' Roundtable on SBR.tv with some picks and leans!

Top 25 Head-To-Head Matchups from the Experts' Roundtable

The Experts' Roundtable examines the marquee matchups coming up on the Week 8 college football card: the Wisconsin Badgers +5.5 at the Iowa Hawkeyes, the LSU Tigers +6 at the Auburn Tigers, the Nebraska Cornhuskers -5.5 at the Oklahoma St Cowboys, and the Oklahoma Sooners -3 at the Missouri Tigers.

Michigan St and Northwestern: Week 8 NAACF Experts' Roundtable

The Michigan St Spartans have enjoyed several very impressive wins over the past month and are clearly one of the top teams in the country. Their line as a road favorite at Northwestern, though, has gone down since opening, and the panel weighs in with some interesting observations regarding this much-debated line.




Follow the link to read more analysis by Dr. Bob!

Dr. Bob, Justin7 and Right Angle Sports share their thoughts on Navy v. Notre Dame

Dr. Bob has pointed out previously on the Experts' Roundtable that Navy has historically been a good bet on the road. The panel discusses this game where the Midshipmen are getting 7 points against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish.

Thursday's Best Bets!

Thursday, October 21
College Best Bets 734-541-35 (58%) on a Star Basis Since 2004!!
Best Bets 25-16-1 This Season (58-39-2 on Stars)!
Thursday Night Analysis Below.
Week 8 Analysis posted on Thursday after 3:15 pm Pacific.

I'll post my week 8 College Best Bets, Strong Opinions and free analysis on Thursday around 3:15 pm Pacific – after they are released to my monthly and season subscribers. If you don't have a subscription you can purchase the weekly Best Bets for $50 after they are posted, although it's better to be a monthly or seasonal subscriber because you get each game as it's being released, which allows you to play them before the line moves.

Week 7 Recap and Season Results
Best Bets Now 25-16-1 This Season
I had the most Best Bets I've ever had, giving out 14 Best Bets. I was 10-4 the last time I had 14 Best Bets, but things didn't go quite that well this week, as I was 7-7 on my 14 Best Bets - although I did show a profit since my higher ratings plays won. I won my only 4-Star Best Bet, as Oklahoma State (+3) won easily, as expected, 34-17 against Texas Tech. My 3-Star Best Bets were 3-2 for the week starting with Central Florida -5 1/2 (won 35-14) on Wednesday night (that game was posted for free on this page on Wednesday morning) and then splitting my Saturday 3-Stars with wins on Toledo -3 (won 34-21) and Hawaii (+7) (upset Nevada 27-21) and losses with Iowa State +23 1/2 (lost 0-52) and Troy State -19 (won 31-24). My 2-Stars were just 3-5 with wins on Kansas State -3 (won 59-7), Michigan State -7 (won 26-6) and Arkansas State +11 (lost 34-36) and losses on NC State -7 (lost 27-33), Vanderbilt +14 1/2 (lost 0-43), Cal +2 1/2 (lost 14-48), Nebraska -9 1/2 (lost 13-20) and Texas A&M -3 (lost 9-30). Oddly, my losses were all by big margins and my wins were all by at least 9 points too. Overall, it was 7-7, but a profitable 19-16 on a Star Basis. My Strong Opinions were 3-2 with wins on Baylor, Boston College and the SMU-Navy Under and losses with Ball State and TCU -29 (won by 28).

Read the rest of this article here!

College Best Bets 61% for the Season!!

Sunday, October 17
College Best Bets 734-541-35 (58%) on a Star Basis Since 2004!!
Best Bets 25-16-1 This Season (58-39-2 on Stars)!
Week 7 Recap and Season Results
Best Bets Now 25-16-1 This Season

I had the most Best Bets I've ever had, giving out 14 Best Bets. I was 10-4 the last time I had 14 Best Bets, but things didn't go quite that well this week, as I was 7-7 on my 14 Best Bets - although I did show a profit since my higher ratings plays won. I won my only 4-Star Best Bet, as Oklahoma State (+3) won easily, as expected, 34-17 against Texas Tech. My 3-Star Best Bets were 3-2 for the week starting with Central Florida -5 1/2 (won 35-14) on Wednesday night (that game was posted for free on this page on Wednesday morning) and then splitting my Saturday 3-Stars with wins on Toledo -3 (won 34-21) and Hawaii (+7) (upset Nevada 27-21) and losses with Iowa State +23 1/2 (lost 0-52) and Troy State -19 (won 31-24). My 2-Stars were just 3-5 with wins on Kansas State -3 (won 59-7), Michigan State -7 (won 26-6) and Arkansas State +11 (lost 34-36) and losses on NC State -7 (lost 27-33), Vanderbilt +14 1/2 (lost 0-43), Cal +2 1/2 (lost 14-48), Nebraska -9 1/2 (lost 13-20) and Texas A&M -3 (lost 9-30). Oddly, my losses were all by big margins and my wins were all by at least 9 points too. Overall, it was 7-7, but a profitable 19-16 on a Star Basis. My Strong Opinions were 3-2 with wins on Baylor, Boston College and the SMU-Navy Under and losses with Ball State and TCU -29 (won by 28).

The line moves affected a few games, as NC State -7 was not a Best Bet at -7 1/2. The 3-Star on Toledo -3 turned in to a 2-Star after the line moved to -3 1/2 or -4. The 2-Star loss on Texas A&M was not a Best Bet when the line moved from -3 to -3 1/2 right after my release. My 3-Star win on Hawaii +7 was a 2-Star at +6 1/2 for those that got the plays after the line move and my 3-Star on Troy -19 was a 2-Star for those that got it at -20 1/2 after the line moved. So, those that got the plays after the line moves actually did better as 2-Star losses on NC State and Texas A&M were not Best Bets after the line moves. The record based on the lines after the release was 7-5 and 17-11 on a Star Basis. Of course, I base my record on the lines at the time of release to my subscribers, but sometimes the line moves actually help the results (people only seem to comment when they don't).

My record for the season is now 25-16-1 on Best Bets and 58-39-2 on a Star Basis (2-1 on 4-Stars, 4-5 on 3-Stars, 19-10-1 on 2-Stars) for a profit of +15.1 Stars at -1.10 odds. My Strong Opinions are 21-21-1 (19-15 on Sides and 2-7 on Totals). The record on the Best Bets based on the lines after they've moved is 23-14 and 52-33 on Stars (+15.7 Stars).

Get more best bets and free analysis here!

"What Dr. Bob Means for Kirk Cousins" by Chad Millman for ESPN.com

Chad Millman

Who says gambling can't get creative? It's not just math geeks sitting in some dark basement, hoping one day Aaron Sorkin will turn their genius systems into a movie. And it's not just degenerates riding the pine at Vegas sports books believing they'll find an edge if they stare at the board long enough.

Betting requires curiosity and thought and considering ideas that no one has ever considered before. Those are all the ingredients that make up the stew that is creativity.

Or so I've been told. I've never actually given it much thought.

Anyway, whenever I do these System of the Week columns (each Wednesday), I am always struck by the number of factors the wise guys throw my way. The formula will be seven or eight items long. As I hear each one, it makes the whole notion sound more absurd than the next, like watching "Gossip Girl."

Again, or so I've been told.

But the truth is, these systems don't come together through random dart throwing; there are fine minds thinking about them, constantly.

One of them is Dr. Bob, the famous handicapper who is 18-9-1 this season in college football with his best bets. When I asked for an angle he had been investigating this week, he gave me: How do you do if you won the previous game as a road dog of more than three points against a conference opponent, and then you are back on the road as more than a four-point dog and the home team is coming off a win?

Read more here! 

College Best Bets

Will be available after 3:00 pm PST today! Get Dr. Bob's latest Free Analysis and Best Bets for College and NFL Football. Get the inside scoop for Wednesday's picks, too!

SBR.TV - College Football Week 6 Experts' Roundtable 1: C Mich/V Tech, Navy/Wake Forest, BC/NC St

SBR.tv's Peter Loshak welcomes back Dr. Bob, Right Angle Sports, and Justin7 to the college football Experts' Roundtable for Week 6.



SBR.TV - College Football Week 6 Experts' Roundtable 1: C Mich/V Tech, Navy/Wake Forest, BC/NC St

Reminder!

Dr. Bob's new picks will be out by 2:45 PST!

Dr. Bob Friday College Football Analysis for The Huffington Post online!

I'm now 7-3-1 on my College Best Bets for the season and I have 7 College Best Bets for Saturday at drbobsports.com in addition to Free Analysis on 34 College and 8 NFL games (my NFL free analysis was 11-1 last week). I don't have a Best Bet on tonight's game, but I lean with the dog against an overrated BYU team I bet against last week for a winner.

Byu (-4) 26 UTAH STATE 24
BYU's offense has been very good in recent years, but freshman quarterback Jake Heaps has been horrible so far, averaging just 3.9 yards per pass play against teams that would combine to allow 6.2 yppp to an average quarterback. Heaps' numbers should be much better tonight against a Utah State secondary that has allowed 7.2 yppp to teams that would combine to average just 5.4 yppp against an average team. Utah State may not actually be that bad against the pass, as they were good against the pass versus both Oklahoma (4.8 yppp allowed) and Fresno State (6.1 yppp), who are both better than average passing teams. Their pass defense rating is skewed by last week's 15.1 yppp allowed to San Diego State, so they're not as bad as this season's overall stats make them out to be (I rate them at 1.1 yppp worse than average). However, Heaps is probably not as bad as his season stats look either and I expect about 5.6 yppp from Heaps in this game. It appears that Utah State's defense is just as bad as the BYU offense and I project 5.4 yards per play for the Cougars in this game.

Click here to read the rest of this article and check back daily for the latest from Dr. Bob Sports!