Basketball Best Bets +500.7 Stars (at -1.10 odds) Last 13 Seasons!
Friday Basketball Available after 3 pm Pacific.
NBA Best Bets 145-79-2 on a Star Basis first two weeks last 9 seasons
My early season NBA basketball handicapping has been very good since I discovered and starting using my indicators 9 years ago. In fact, my NBA Best Bets are 150-81-12 on a Star Basis in the first two weeks of the season the last 9 years (although I'm just 3-4 on my NBA Best Bets so far this season).
Basketball Best Bets 37-43-2 for -26.7 Stars
I have a few horrible stretches every season and 19 out of 25 years have still resulted in a profit on my basketball analysis. Unfortunately, I'm in the middle of a bad run right now, as I was just 3-5 on my Thursday Best Bets after a horrible night on Wednesday. Normally, the losing streaks are a function of losing close games and 3-point shooting variance and tonight my 8 Best Bets were a combined 27.9% on 3-pointers (39 for 140) while their opponents were 43.7% (69 for 158). My 5 college Best Bets, which were 1-4, were a combined 18 for 80 from 3-point range (22.5%) while their opponents were 46 for 111 (41.4%). It's impossible to predict that sort of variance, especially when my 5 College teams were expected to make a combined 35.2% from 3-point range while allowing 33.4%. My Best Bet win on Cal Irvine +4 (won by 9) was only positive 3.3 points in variance, so they would have covered easily anyway. Two of my losses, Marquette -8 (lost by 17 with -14.4 points of 3-point variance) and Tennessee Tech -10 1/2 (lost by 15 with -15.1 points of variance) would not have covered even if 3-point shooting was as expected. But, my Best Bet on Detroit -6 1/2 would have covered with normal 3-point shooting by both teams, as Detroit lost by 4 with -15.1 points of 3-point variance (they were 0 for 10 while Illinois-Chicago was 10 for 22). My other loss on The Citadel +21 1/2 (lost by 31) suffered -10.1 points of 3-point shooting variance so that game would have been a toss-up with expected 3-point shooting (The Citadel, expected to make 37%, made 4 of 19 while Tennessee, expected to make 38%, made 9 of 22). Negative variance in 3 point shooting is how a 2-3 or 3-2 record turns into a 1-4 record. I did win 2 of my 3 NBA Best Bets with wins on Dallas +5 1/2 (lost by 2 on a buzzer beater by Durant) and a close win on Chicago -8 (won by 10, but could have lost if the Kings were better from the line) and a loss on the Knicks. I'm going to have good stretches this season when I'm winning close games and have some positive 3-point variance. In the long run that stuff tends to even out and I'll be between 52% and 58% like I always am in basketball.
I am 37-43-2 on my Basketball Best Bets and 91-107-4 on a Star Basis (17-21 on 3-Stars and 20-22-2 on 2-Stars) for -26.7 Stars at -1.10 odds. My average line differential is slightly negative at -0.4 points, and I am 10-13-2 on games decided by 3 points or less. It's been a tough stretch, but I've been down more than this and come back to have profitable seasons and there is a lot of games left in this season to still make a good profit.
Last season I had a week in which I was -23.9 Stars and another week when I was -17.7 Stars and I still ended up +30 Stars for the season. In 2009-10 I was -9.5 Stars at the end of January and ended the season +34 Stars of profit. Losing streaks are inevitable in sports investing, even in very good seasons, and I know the short term losses sting. But the long run has been consistently good for my clients over the years so try to maintain the proper perspective.
4 Week Subscription Now Available for $245
You can purchase Basketball Best Bets daily for just $15 and I also have a 28 day subscriptions available and a packages that go through the NCAA Tournament and through the NBA Finals for about $7 a day. Available Best Bets Packages
2011-12 Season Subscriptions Available
All Football and Basketball Best Bets +697.5 Stars Last 13 Years!
My 2011 Football and Basketball season subscriptions, as well as my Football-Basketball Combo Package (the best value) are now available. Should the NBA season be shortened refunds for weeks missed will be given.
2010/2011 Season Results
Best Bets 442-375-16 on a Star Basis
I lost my 2-Star Best Bet on the Under but the win by Dallas resulted in a profit of +3.2 Stars on the series (2-Stars risked at +1.60 odds). I had Dallas rated as the best team in the NBA heading into the playoffs and that proved to be the case. In the playoffs I was 12-10 on Best Bets (despite losing a 5 point dog in OT), 14-9-2 on Strong Opinions, 16-21 on leans and 3-0 on Series Bets for +11.0 Stars (1 Star on Memphis over San Antonio for +3.3 Stars, 1.5 Stars on Dallas over the Lakers for +4.5 Stars, and 2 Stars on Dallas over the Heat for +3.2 Stars).
I had another profitable season of Basketball Best Bets despite losing more close games than I won (15-21 on Best Bets decided by 1 point or less). For the season I was 442-375-16 on a Star Basis (3-2 on 4-Stars, 59-53-2 on 3-Stars and 121-104-5 on 2-Stars and 3-0 on playoff series bets for +11.0 Stars) for a profit of +29.5 Stars at -1.10 odds. Had I gone 18-18 on those close games I would have profited another 14 Stars, so I'm satisfied with my level of handicapping despite not profiting as much as I usually do in Basketball.
Basketball Best Bets +500.7 Stars Last 13 Seasons!
My Basketball Best Bets are 6609-5553-265 on a Star Basis the last 13 seasons, for a profit of +500.7 Stars at -1.10 odds, and I’m 55% on my Basketball Best Bets over 24 seasons.
Free Analysis
I post free analysis almost every day during basketball season on anywhere from 1 to 5 games and those opinions have been profitable over the years.
I was 1-2 on my Wednesday opinions. I'm 2-1 on my free Best Bets and 21-18 on my free opinions this season.
Last season I was 12-6 on my free Best Bets and 105-88-2 on my free opinions and I am 38-30-1 on my Free Best Bets and 428-378-12 on my free opinions the previous 4 seasons.
Friday Basketball Available after 3 pm Pacific.
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