Monday, March 21, 2011

Free Basketball Analysis from Dr. Bob

I post free basketball analysis almost every day during basketball season on anywhere from 1 to 5 games and those opinions have been profitable over the years.

My Monday opinions on Boston in the NBA and Oregon -1 in college both won. I'm 12-6 on my free Best Bets and 90-81-2 on my free opinions this season.

I was 26-24-1 on my Free Best Bets and 323-290-12 on my free opinions the previous 3 seasons.

No Best Bets or opinions for Tuesday.

Thursday, March 17, 2011

Basketball Sports Betting Analysis for Thursday, March 17

Thursday, March 17 
Basketball Best Bets +471.2 Stars (at -1.10 odds) Last 12 Seasons! 
Best Bets 344-277-9 on a Star Basis This Season! 



Note: If you purchased the $95 first round package on Wednesday you won't be able to view them today, so email me at Bob@drbobsports.com and I'll send the analysis to you.

14 NCAA Tournament Best Bets for $95
Analysis of every NCAA Tourney game
I was 7-2 on my 1st Round NCAA Tournament Best Bets last year and I have 14 Best Bets (6 for Thursday, and 8 for Friday) available right now along with analysis on every other NCAA Tournament game (including 3 Strong Opinion/Possible Best Bets).


Click here for Wednesday through Friday NCAA analysis for $95.

I don't have any NBA or NIT/CBI/CIT Best Bets for Wednesday night.

I lean with Orlando -6 in the NBA and with Cal -4 1/2 in the NIT.
Subscription (all NBA and College) through NCAA Final game just $295
I do an analysis of every game in the NCAA Tournament and release my 1st Round analysis of every game and bracket predictions on Wednesday morning. The cost of the daily analysis for the NCAA Tournament will be higher than normal, so buying a subscription is a better deal (and you'll get my brackets while daily buyers will not). You'll also receive all NBA, NIT and other College tournament Best Bets as part of the subscription.


Current Season Results
Best Bets 344-277-9 on a Star Basis
I was 0-3 on my Tuesday night NBA 2-Star Best Bets, losing both close games with Washington +16 and Dallas -1 1/2. The other loss was a blowout with Milwaukee getting beaten by 25 points. I've bounced back from nights worse than -6.6 Stars and I'm still up 39.3 Stars for the season.

I've lost a lot of close games in the past week, as I'm just 3-10-2 on games decided by 3 points or less since two Saturdays ago (18-13 on Best Bets decided by more than 3 points). I'm still doing pretty well despite losing most of the close games recently and I was at just +15 Stars just 4 weeks ago and now I'm at +39.3 Stars.

For the season I am 344-277-9 on a Star Basis (2-1 on 4-Stars, 50-37-1 on 3-Stars and 93-81-3 on 2-Stars) for a profit of +39.3 Stars at -1.10 odds.

The College post season is historically a very good time of the year for me. In fact, last year I was only up +3.7 Stars of profit for the season at the end of February and I got up to +50 Stars by the NCAA Tournament Championship game. This season, I've gone from +15 Stars to +39.3 Stars in the last few weeks.

Basketball Subscriptions
NCAA Tournament Package Available for $295
You can save money from buying day to day with my Basketball season subscription. More importantly, you also have access to my Basketball release page with both packages, which allows you to get down before the lines move.

I have a subscription package that includes all College and NBA Best Bets through the NCAA Tournament Championship game in early April and another that goes all the way through the NBA Finals in June. Click the link below for the updated season subscription price.


Basketball Best Bets will be available for purchase on a daily basis for $15.

Basketball Best Bets +471.2 Stars Last 12 Seasons!
My Basketball Best Bets are 6167-5178-249 on a Star Basis the last 12 seasons, for a profit of +471.2 Stars at - 1.10 odds, and I’m 55% on my Basketball Best Bets over 23 seasons.

Free Basketball Analysis
I post free analysis almost every day during basketball season on anywhere from 1 to 5 games and those opinions have been profitable over the years.

I split my 2 Tuesday opinions, winning with Fairfield in the NIT and losing with UAB. I'm 9-5 on my free Best Bets and 87-79-2 on my free opinions this season.

I was 26-24-1 on my Free Best Bets and 323-290-12 on my free opinions the previous 3 seasons.

Wednesday Opinions
I lean with Orlando -6 in the NBA and with Cal -4 1/2 in the NIT.
 
Sorry, no time for a written analysis today (too busy working on my brackets).
             
   

Tuesday, March 8, 2011

Basketball Best Bets Analysis for Tuesday, March 8th

Tuesday, March 08
Basketball Best Bets +471.2 Stars (at -1.10 odds) Last 12 Seasons!
Best Bets 313-238-4 on a Star Basis This Season!
 
3 Tuesday night College Best Bets for $20 ($15 for Members)
I am 10-4 this season and 60% the last 6 years on my College Conference Tournament Basketball Best Bets and I have 3 Tuesday Night College Best Bets, including two 3-Star Best Bets. You can get my Sunday Basketball analysis for $20 ($15 for members). Click here for 3 Tuesday night College Best Bets.

Today’s first 2 Best Bets tip off at 4 pm Pacific and the other Best Bet is at 4:30 pm PST. You will be informed as to how many Best Bets have yet to start when you get to the payment screen and you won’t be allowed to purchase the Best Bets if all the Best Bets have already started.

Wednesday daytime Best Bets Available around 8:20 am Pacific.

Current Season Results
Best Bets 313-238-4 on a Star Basis
I split my two Sunday Best Bets for a small profit, winning my 3-Star Best Bet on Detroit -6 (won by 11) and losing 2-Stars with Boston -7 (won by 6), which was my 4th 1 point loss in two days. I also heard from some of you that found Wake Forest at +17, which would have made them a 2-Star winner, but the majority of the books stayed at +16 1/2, so it was officially just an opinion. This past week was my 3rd consecutive winning week (and 5th in 6 weeks) and I'm excited about the big week of conference tournaments coming up (I'm 60% in conference tournament Best Bets the last 6 years, including 10-4 this year).

For the season I am 313-238-4 on a Star Basis (2-0 on 4-Stars, 45-32 on 3-Stars and 85-71-2 on 2-Stars) for a profit of +51.2 Stars at -1.10 odds.

This time of year, especially the Conference Tournaments, is historically a very good time of the year for me. In fact, last year I was only up +3.7 Stars of profit for the season at the end of February and I got up to +50 Stars by the NCAA Tournament Championship game.

Basketball Subscriptions
4 Week Package Available for $345
You can save money from buying day to day with my Basketball season subscription. More importantly, you also have access to my Basketball release page with both packages, which allows you to get down before the lines move. The price is higher than normal at this time of year because there are a lot of 2 sessions days coming up with the conference tournaments and NCAA tournament. Click the link below for the updated season subscription price.

Available Best Bets Packages

Basketball Best Bets will be available for purchase on a daily basis for $15.

Basketball Best Bets +471.2 Stars Last 12 Seasons!
My Basketball Best Bets are 6167-5178-249 on a Star Basis the last 12 seasons, for a profit of +471.2 Stars at - 1.10 odds, and I’m 55% on my Basketball Best Bets over 23 seasons.


Free Analysis
I post free analysis almost every day during basketball season on anywhere from 1 to 5 games and those opinions have been profitable over the years.

My Monday opinion on Dallas lost. I'm 7-4 on my free Best Bets and 80-74-2 on my free opinions this season.

I was 26-24-1 on my Free Best Bets and 323-290-12 on my free opinions the previous 3 seasons.


Tuesday College Opinion
Toledo (+19 ½) over OHIO
Rotation #587 – 4 pm Pacific
Toledo is a horrendous 4-27 team but the Rockets are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games as a dog of 11 points or more this season and they apply to a 13-0 ATS conference tournament situation that plays on horrible teams on a 7 game or more losing streak. Toledo hasn’t been as good without injured #2 scorer and top rebounder G Reese Holliday, but my ratings favor Ohio by 20 points after adjusting for Holliday, so the line is pretty fair. I’ll lean with Toledo based on that 13-0 ATS angle.


I am 313-238-4 on a Star Basis on my Basketball Best Bets and I have 3 Tuesday Night College Basketball Best Bets (two 3-Star Best Bets) for just $15.

Tuesday, March 1, 2011

Dr. Bob basketball analysis

Tuesday, March 01
Basketball Best Bets +471.2 Stars (at -1.10 odds) Last 12 Seasons!
Best Bets 272-208-4 on a Star Basis This Season!
 
I will have multiple Best Bets for Tuesday - available after 3:05 pm Pacific.

Current Season Results
Best Bets 272-208-4 on a Star Basis
I passed on Sunday (and Monday) but I was 6-1 on my 7 Saturday Best Bets and had a second consecutive good week.
 
For the season I am 272-208-4 on a Star Basis (1-0 on 4-Stars, 40-24 on 3-Stars and 74-68-2 on 2-Stars) for a profit of +43.2 Stars at -1.10 odds (a new season high). The 2-Stars being around 50% so far is just random variance at work. In fact, the 2-Stars have been profitable over the years and were 118-87-3 last season.
 
This time of year, especially the Conference Tournaments, is historically a very good time of the year for me. In fact, last year I was only up +3.7 Stars of profit for the season at this point in the year and I got up to +50 Stars by the NCAA Tournament Championship game.

Basketball Subscriptions
4 Week Package Available for $345
You can save money from buying day to day with my Basketball season subscription. More importantly, you also have access to my Basketball release page with both packages, which allows you to get down before the lines move. The price is higher than normal at this time of year because there are a lot of 2 sessions days coming up with the conference tournaments and NCAA tournament. Click the link below for the updated season subscription price.

Available Best Bets Packages

Basketball Best Bets will be available for purchase on a daily basis for $15.

Basketball Best Bets +471.2 Stars Last 12 Seasons!
My Basketball Best Bets are 6167-5178-249 on a Star Basis the last 12 seasons, for a profit of +471.2 Stars at - 1.10 odds, and I’m 55% on my Basketball Best Bets over 23 seasons.

Free Analysis
I post free analysis almost every day during basketball season on anywhere from 1 to 5 games and those opinions have been profitable over the years.
 
My Sunday opinions on West Virginia and U Mass split. I'm 7-4 on my free Best Bets and 72-70-1 on my free opinions this season.
 
I was 26-24-1 on my Free Best Bets and 323-290-12 on my free opinions the previous 3 seasons.

Free analysis posted after 3:05 pm Pacific.

Tuesday, February 22, 2011

Free Bets listed!

Today (Tuesday, 2/22), Dr. Bob has 2 free best bets. One is an NCAA Basketball game between the Xavier Musketeers and the LaSalle Explorers, in which Xavier is favored by 14 points. The Explorers are relatively good on the road but Xavier is tried and tested at home. Is the 14 points too much to cover?

In NBA action, the Minnesota Timberwolves make the short trip to Milwaukee to play the Bucks, who are 8-point favorites. Milwaukee is 17-3 ATS the last two seasons against teams with a win percentage of less than .333, but 8 points is a lot in the NBA.

 To see who Dr. Bob picked to win these 2 games, head over to the expert basketball analysis site right now!

Monday, February 14, 2011

Who is Dr. Bob and what does he know about sports betting?

My first brush with sports betting was in my sophomore year at UC Berkeley in 1984 when a friend invited me to join an NFL pool with a $2 entry fee. I had always been interested in sports statistics growing up and had often predicted games for fun to see how closely I could get to predicting the score of the Oakland Raiders games each week.

I had no idea what a point spread was when I took the pool sheet home to study, but I was intrigued by the problem at hand and spent hours that night coming up with a formula that used each team's season-to-date statistics to predict the likely scoring margin of each game. I turned in my picks and went 12-2 against the spread, good enough for the $102 first place prize. I went 11-3 the very next week to finish 2nd and pocketed an additional $40. Needless to say, my interest in sports betting was certainly enhanced by the cash filling my usually empty front pocket.

I spent the rest of that football season researching and reading anything I could find on the subject of sports handicapping. Most of what I found was useless, but my thesis on how to properly look at the problem of picking winners against the spread began to take shape as I began to question the other approaches I was reading about.

My major at Cal was in statistics with an emphasis in economics and I quickly came to realize that betting on sports was very similar to playing the stock market. The point spread is simply a price that a trader (i.e. a gambler) is willing to pay to bet on each team. It became apparent that the price a gambler would pay to bet on a team was heavily dependent upon how well that team was playing of late and I hypothesized that there was probably an overreaction to recent events in sports betting just as there was with stock prices on Wall Street.

I also started to notice that most teams were inconsistent in their level of play from week to week and that harnessing these up and down patterns would be very helpful in my new endeavor. As luck would have it, I was taking a time series class that focused on spectrum (Fourier) analysis, which explores cyclical patterns of data. Spectrum analysis is sort of like linear regression but with sine and cosine waves and helps to uncover the frequencies at which a team's performance oscillates.

I later found out that I was among the first to use technical analysis in sports betting. Understanding the patterns of team performance, in conjunction with the betting patterns of gamblers, was a powerful tool. My results in the mid-80's using my more advanced methods resulted in winning 63% on the games I personally bet while paying my way through college..

Over my first few years wagering in college I also had some exposure to the sports service industry, which was mostly comprised of untrustworthy solicitors and false claims about ridiculous win rates that only fools would be gullible enough to believe. I thought to myself that if these lying promoters could have a business flipping coins and selling their "Locks" to gamblers, then there would certainly be a market for an honest guy that could actually win.

I started Dr. Bob Sports in 1987 and quickly found that being honest about my 60% win rates in an industry full of false claims of 70% to 80% winners wasn't getting me very far. I was fortunate to be asked by the Gold Sheet to write an article for one of their publications and that article led to a weekly column in the Las Vegas Sports News called "The Doctor Is In", which garnered plenty of positive attention among sharp sports bettors in Vegas. I also was asked to be a regular guest on a 2 hour weekly sports betting radio show that was broadcast nationally on the Sports Fan Radio Network (a precursor to ESPN radio and Fox radio).

The notoriety I received from the weekly column and radio appearances encouraged me to start a print publication called 'Dr. Bob Sports News' that was distributed around the country to newsstands. Dr. Bob Sports News was packed with analyses of upcoming games and useful charts and became a favorite among more intelligent sports gamblers who appreciated my unique approach. Getting my highly analytical articles and game write ups to the public enabled me to positively differentiate my service from all the scam services making false claims, and the publication earned me a loyal following that jump started my business

My publication ran successfully for 11 years until I launched my drbobsports.com web site in the late 90's. My goal with drbobsports.com was to have even more detailed analysis of every game available on my site, with most of it being free of charge. I figured the more people read my detailed analysis and insights into sports betting the more impressed they would be with my service. However, the bottom line is that picking more winners than losers is what has made me successful as I start my 23rd year in business.

These days, books have evolved to the point where it's tough to consistently win 60% plus anymore, but my analysis has evolved as the odds makers and public have grown more savvy and I'm still several steps ahead of the guys making the lines. In fact, I study my methods of analysis every summer, tweak my math models, and optimize the weighting of my handicapping factors (i.e. situational analysis, fundamental indicators, math models, etc) to maximize my likelihood of winning each season.

My most recent math model for college football, which debuted in 2004, has been incredibly successful and led to an article in the Wall Street Journal, appearances on CNBC, and a story about my service on ESPN's E:60 magazine show. That extra attention makes it a bit more challenging to stay ahead of the odds makers, who are now fully aware of me and my plays, but I will continue to adjust my models.

Their line-setting methods have caught up to about where I was in 2003, but I have several factors of analysis that I do not think that the odds makers have considered yet. Furthermore, the lines are heavily influenced by public opinion, which is frequently off-base, and that makes my job much easier.

My handicapping philosophy is now based more on my math models than on the technical analysis, because the math models have been so good, but I still use a combination of factors to come up with my Best Bets.

Please take some time to read the sports betting and money management articles that I've posted on the site and check out the Past Performance page for details on my 73% annual return over the last decade. I also hope you enjoy all the free analysis that I post on my site weekly during the football season (all games that are not part of my Best Bets package) and daily during basketball season.

Monday, February 7, 2011

Sports handicapping: Best bets subscription information

My monthly and season subscriptions give you access to my Best Bets (and Strong Opinions in football) at a discounted price and allow you to use my Best Bets release page – which releases each Best Bet simultaneously to everyone, one at a time, on a countdown.

While my success over the years has led to movement in the point spreads shortly after releasing my Best Bets, most of my clients that use my Best Bets release page have successfully gotten their plays in before the line moves on each Best Bet. Being able to get down before the lines move is a major benefit to purchasing one of my season packa ges rather than buying my weekly or daily packages, which are only available after all Best Bets are released to subscribers on the Best Bets release page.

Given the long history of success on my Best Bets (73% annual returns), the cost of my service is very affordable. In fact, if you’re going to be wagering on sports you probably can’t afford not to use my service since most amateurs, and most other professional handicappers, don’t even win 50% of their bets.

Make sure to read my Sports Betting as an Investment article for more information on how good of an investment Dr. Bob Sports has been and whether you can afford the cost of the service based on your bankroll.