An Introduction by Mike O'Connor

Hey all, my name is Mike and I wanted to just introduce myself and give you all a little more background on my career and credentials.

I got my start by studying Dr. Bob’s methods with fellow handicapper, Scott Kellen, many years ago and spending countless hours reverse-engineering what I could of his systems and models. His methodology, which is scientific, appealed to me as finance major having studied financial pricing models and provided the foundation of my interest in predictive analytics and sports analysis as a vehicle for investing.

Remember that sports investing is a largely unregulated market driven at times by unsophisticated money. There are clear edges to be had and none in my opinion more so than in the NFL which is the most publicly bet sport. Incorporating Dr. Bob’s basic methodology of situational analysis, statistical modeling, and match-up analysis into my handicapping I was able to develop an initial profitable model. 

As time went on I developed novel approaches in the creation of systems and models with esoteric new stats that have been able to keep me ahead of the curve. I have an exclusive focus on the NFL and I am constantly searching for new and different ways of identifying small edges in team’s performances. I have conducted research on a variety of predictive subsets in the NFL that lie outside the norm and have identified systems that produce winners with high levels of statistical significance. I also stay on the cutting edge of performance evaluation by watching every game, making detailed notes about performance, tendencies, injuries and other information.

While my record and my analysis have been very good, I certainly don’t have all the answers. I continue to search and try to get better as I add to and edit my work every year. However, I can guarantee you that I will work hard, be honest and act with integrity, and give you a very good chance at being profitable in the NFL this year.

NFL Free Analysis

As most of you know, Dr Bob has posted informative and profitable NFL analysis in his Free Analysis section for years. This season I will post Free Analysis on NFL games that are not part of my Best Bet package.

I didn't have any Week 1 NFL Best Bets but I've had great success early in the season from week 2 through 6 ( 95-46-5 for 67.4% Winners) and I'm hoping to start strong again this season.  

Check back on Friday for my Week 2 Best Bets.