Thursday, July 12, 2012

Check Out My Sports Handicapping Stats!


Here are some charts that go over the stats on my sports betting service since 1999! 

I currently recommend wagering 2.0% of your initial bankroll per Star on my Football Best Bets, 1.5% of your initial bankroll per Star in Basketball, and wagering 1.6% in Football and 1.4% in Basketball when using the Combo Package (from 1999-00 through 2008-09 I recommended 1.2% per star in basketball with the combo package and the return on investment percentages for those years reflect that). Over the last twelve years, my Football / Basketball Sports Handicapping Combo package has averaged a 60.5% return on investment with a standard deviation of 90.2%.
    Notes for charts below:
  • All records shown as Win-Loss-Push.
  • Opinions ("Strong Opinions") are not included in Total Stars Calculations.
  • Total Stars is computed by multiplying each bet by its star value. So if you win a 4-Star and two 2-Stars, and lose a 3-Star and a 2-Star, then you have gone 8-5 on a Star basis.
  • Win% is Stars Won/(Stars Won + Stars Lost)
  • Net Stars is Stars Won - 1.1 * Stars Lost + Props/Futures

College Football Records

NCAA FB5-Star4-Star3-Star2-StarOpinionsTotal StarsWin%Props/FuturesNet Stars
1999-000-0-01-0-023-9-025-22-10-0-0123-71-263.40.0+ 44.9
2000-010-0-02-1-016-8-029-16-00-0-0114-60-065.50.0+ 48.0
2001-020-0-00-2-013-7-022-19-038-31-283-67-055.30.0+ 9.3
2002-030-0-03-1-017-20-129-23-236-38-3121-110-752.40.0-0.0
2003-040-0-01-2-016-17-129-36-143-29-1110-131-545.60.0-34.1
2004-050-0-00-1-021-17-034-16-144-24-0131-87-260.10.0+ 35.3
2005-061-0-05-2-021-3-124-16-139-27-0136-49-573.50.0+ 82.1
2006-071-0-07-3-018-15-119-16-237-39-1125-89-758.40.0+ 27.1
2007-080-0-01-5-012-17-119-20-043-48-078-111-341.30.0-44.1
2008-090-0-02-0-022-16-319-15-147-30-1112-78-1158.90.0+ 26.2
2009-100-0-02-3-016-16-117-14-144-34-090-88-550.6+4.0-2.8
2010-110-0-03-2-015-14-028-18-137-44-2113-86-256.8+0.9+ 19.3
2011-120-0-00-2-014-16-028-23-136-37-098-102-249.0+12.9-1.3
L13 Years2-0-027-24-0224-175-9322-254-12444-381-101434-1129-5156.0+17.8+209.9

NFL Records

NFL4-Star3-Star2-StarOpinionsTotal StarsWin%Props/FuturesNet Stars
1999-002-2-018-8-025-30-10-0-0112-92-254.90.0+ 10.8
2000-014-2-115-11-122-19-10-0-0105-79-957.10.0+ 18.1
2001-021-1-117-12-117-13-228-18-089-66-1157.40.0+ 16.4
2002-033-1-020-12-225-31-125-14-1122-102-854.50.0+ 9.8
2003-043-1-016-23-118-19-016-17-096-111-346.40.0-26.1
2004-051-1-121-10-014-16-130-23-295-66-659.00.0+ 22.4
2005-062-0-012-20-113-17-119-29-070-94-542.70.0-33.4
2006-072-2-014-17-213-15-122-15-176-89-846.10.0-21.9
2007-081-0-011-8-112-14-024-20-061-52-354.00.0+ 3.8
2008-091-0-012-8-06-12-020-10-252-48-052.0+5.3+ 4.5
2009-100-0-04-2-08-9-023-26-128-24-053.8+2.0+ 3.6
2010-110-0-05-8-010-14-020-21-135-52-040.20.0-22.2
2011-120-0-04-3-014-17-128-10-040-43-248.20.0-7.3
L13 Years20-10-3169-142-9197-226-9255-203-8981-918-5751.7+7.3-21.5

College Basketball Records

NCAA BB4-Star3-Star2-StarOpinionsTotal StarsWin%Props/FuturesNet Stars
1999-008-5-047-35-452-54-20-0-0277-233-1654.30.0+ 20.7
2000-011-1-045-53-092-61-30-0-0323-285-653.10.0+ 9.5
2001-022-2-048-29-2102-85-30-0-0356-265-1257.30.0+ 64.5
2002-035-5-074-68-485-80-50-0-0412-384-2251.80.0-10.4
2003-045-4-176-48-4114-86-50-0-0476-332-2658.90.0+110.8
2004-058-11-168-61-279-79-30-0-0394-385-1650.60.0-29.5
2005-062-8-076-47-185-59-10-0-0406-291-558.20.0+ 85.9
2006-0710-10-062-46-151-57-10-0-0328-292-552.90.0+ 6.8
2007-084-6-161-58-455-64-30-0-0309-326-2248.70.0-49.6
2008-092-2-055-41-360-64-10-0-0293-259-1153.10.0+ 8.1
2009-101-1-042-41-179-59-20-0-0288-245-754.00.0+ 18.5
2010-112-2-040-40-281-56-20-0-0290-240-1054.70.0+ 26.0
2011-122-3-059-56-197-77-30-0-0379-334-953.20.0+ 11.6
L13 Years52-60-3753-623-291032-881-340-0-04531-3871-16753.90.0+272.9

NBA Basketball Records

NBA4-Star3-Star2-StarOpinionsTotal StarsWin%Props/FuturesNet Stars
1999-002-4-035-29-371-46-20-0-0255-195-1356.70.0+ 40.5
2000-012-3-022-16-376-64-30-0-0226-188-1554.60.0+ 19.2
2001-021-2-023-15-155-39-20-0-0183-131-758.30.0+ 38.9
2002-032-1-031-29-138-55-10-0-0177-201-546.80.0-44.1
2003-042-1-024-21-154-42-40-0-0188-151-1155.50.0+ 21.9
2004-052-1-028-24-338-29-00-0-0168-134-955.60.0+ 20.6
2005-063-1-120-21-148-31-20-0-0168-129-1156.60.0+ 26.1
2006-072-0-022-25-224-24-00-0-0122-123-649.80.0-13.3
2007-080-2-029-18-032-20-00-0-0151-102-059.70.0+ 38.8
2008-092-0-019-18-027-33-00-0-0119-120-049.80.0-13.0
2009-100-0-020-18-139-28-00-0-0138-110-355.60.0+ 17.0
2010-111-0-019-13-040-48-30-0-0141-135-651.1+11.0+ 3.5
2011-120-0-012-14-036-42-10-0-0108-126-246.2-1.8-32.4
L13 Years19-15-1304-261-16578-501-180-0-02144-1845-8853.7+9.2+123.7

Summary

FOOTBALL TOTALS
YearNet StarsROI
1999-00 (1)+ 55.7+111.4%
2000-01 (2)+ 66.1+132.2%
2001-02 (3)+ 25.7+ 51.4%
2002-03 (4)+ 9.8+ 19.6%
2003-04 (5)-60.2-120.4%
2004-05 (6)+ 57.7+115.4%
2005-06 (7)+ 48.7+ 97.4%
2006-07 (8)+ 5.2+ 10.4%
2007-08 (9)-40.3-80.6%
2008-09 (10)+ 30.7+ 61.4%
2009-10 (11)+ 0.8+ 1.6%
2010-11 (12)-2.9-5.8%
2011-12 (13)-8.6-17.2%
Total+188.4+376.8%
Average+ 14.5+ 29.0%
BASKETBALL TOTALS
YearNet StarsROI
1999-00+ 61.2+ 91.8%
2000-01+ 28.7+ 43.0%
2001-02+103.4+155.1%
2002-03-54.5-81.8%
2003-04+132.7+199.0%
2004-05-8.9-13.4%
2005-06+112.0+168.0%
2006-07-6.5-9.8%
2007-08-10.8-16.2%
2008-09-4.9-7.4%
2009-10+ 35.5+ 53.2%
2010-11+ 29.5+ 44.2%
2011-12-20.8-31.2%
Total+396.6+594.9%
Average+ 30.5+ 45.8%
BB+FB COMBINED TOTALS
YearNet StarsROI
1999-00+116.9+162.6%
2000-01+ 94.8+140.2%
2001-02+129.1+165.2%
2002-03-44.7-49.7%
2003-04+ 72.5+ 62.9%
2004-05+ 48.8+ 81.6%
2005-06+160.7+212.3%
2006-07-1.3+ 0.5%
2007-08-51.1-77.4%
2008-09+ 25.8+ 43.2%
2009-10+ 36.3+ 51.0%
2010-11+ 26.6+ 36.7%
2011-12-29.4-42.9%
Total+585.0+786.2%
Average+ 45.0+ 60.5%

Posted by at

No comments:

Post a Comment

Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom)