NBA Playoffs start on Saturday.
Basketball Best Bets 197-183-5 for -19.1 Stars
It's frustrating that I can't rely on injury reports that I pay for to be accurate and I lost a second straight Best Bet based on incorrect reports. New Orleans lost to the number by 1/2 a point on Tuesday because Eric Gordon was scratched about half an hour before tip-off and my Thursday night 2-Star Best Bet on Utah -6 was doomed when the Jazz' most important player, Paul Millsap, didn't play after being listed as probable all afternoon. The other star for the Jazz, Al Jefferson, only played the first quarter and the Jazz were up by 7 after 1 quarter, but Jefferson never reentered the game. I knew it was a risk playing the Jazz without knowing exactly how long Millsap and Jefferson would play, but it was a good play as long as each played 15 minutes, which was certainly a reasonable assumption based on all reports I read today. Instead the Jazz stars combined for just 10 minutes, which was certainly not anticipated. I'll take responsibility for that misinformation but it's still disheartening for two players listed as probable, that were each reportedly going to play 15 to 20 minutes, to combine for just 10 minutes.
NBA basketball handicapping has been frustrating to say the least (I won on my College Best Bets), but I am 312-251-13 (55.4%) lifetime on my NBA Playoff Best Bets and I picked up +13.7 Stars in the NBA playoffs last season. The strange scheduling during the regular season isn't likely to affect the normal playoff patterns, so I'm hoping to close the season strong.
I am now 197-183-5 on my Basketball Best Bets and 466-441-11 on a Star Basis (2-3 on 4-Stars, 68-68-1 on 3-Stars and 127-112-4 on 2-Stars) for -19.1 Stars at -1.10 odds. It's been a frustrating season, but I'm +481.6 Stars of profit the last 14 seasons and have averaged over 40 Stars of profit over my 24 years and thousands of Best Bets, which is more indicative of my future results than my 52% record so far this season.
Subscription through the NBA Finals
You can purchase Basketball Best Bets daily for just $15 and I also have a subscription package that goes through the NBA Finals that will save you money. For more info, check out my sports betting service.
2010/2011 Season Results
Best Bets 442-375-16 on a Star Basis
I lost my 2-Star Best Bet on the Under but the win by Dallas resulted in a profit of +3.2 Stars on the series (2-Stars risked at +1.60 odds). I had Dallas rated as the best team in the NBA heading into the playoffs and that proved to be the case. In the playoffs I was 12-10 on Best Bets (despite losing a 5 point dog in OT), 14-9-2 on Strong Opinions, 16-21 on leans and 3-0 on Series Bets for +11.0 Stars (1 Star on Memphis over San Antonio for +3.3 Stars, 1.5 Stars on Dallas over the Lakers for +4.5 Stars, and 2 Stars on Dallas over the Heat for +3.2 Stars).
I had another profitable season of sports investing with my Basketball Best Bets despite losing more close games than I won (15-21 on Best Bets decided by 1 point or less). For the season I was 442-375-16 on a Star Basis (3-2 on 4-Stars, 59-53-2 on 3-Stars and 121-104-5 on 2-Stars and 3-0 on playoff series bets for +11.0 Stars) for a profit of +29.5 Stars at -1.10 odds. Had I gone 18-18 on those close games I would have profited another 14 Stars, so I'm satisfied with my level of handicapping despite not profiting as much as I usually do in Basketball.
Basketball Best Bets +500.7 Stars Last 13 Seasons!
My Basketball Best Bets are 6609-5553-265 on a Star Basis the last 13 seasons, for a profit of +500.7 Stars at -1.10 odds, and I’m 55% on my Basketball Best Bets over 24 seasons.
Free Analysis
I post free analysis almost every day during basketball season on anywhere from 1 to 5 games and those opinions have been profitable over the years.
My Monday opinion on San Antonio -13 1/2 was an easy winner. I'm 11-8 on my free Best Bets and 114-104-7 on my free opinions this season.
Last season I was 12-6 on my free Best Bets and 105-88-2 on my free opinions and I am 38-30-1 on my Free Best Bets and 428-378-12 on my free opinions the previous 4 seasons.
No comments:
Post a Comment