Free Big Ten Analysis

Here's my free analysis from last week for the Big Ten. If you haven't checked out my free college football analysis, check it out here!

Michigan St. (-2.5) 26 IOWA 21

Over/Under Total: 47.0
09:00 AM Pacific Time Saturday, 12-Nov-2011
Michigan State's defense has cracked a bit in recent weeks, so Iowa's good offense should be able to score a decent number of points. However, the Hawkeyes are mediocre defensively and my math favors the Spartans by 5 points in this game.




Nebraska (-3.5) vs. PENN ST.

Over/Under Total: 43.0
09:00 AM Pacific Time Saturday, 12-Nov-2011
This game is part of Dr Bob's Best Bets package, which includes all of Dr. Bob's Best Bets, Strong Opinions and other withheld games. For the analysis of this game and all the Bets and Strong Opinions for this week click here




Ohio St. (-7.0) 27 PURDUE 19

Over/Under Total: 46.0
09:00 AM Pacific Time Saturday, 12-Nov-2011
My math model favors Ohio State by 8 1/2 points.




NORTHWESTERN (-16.0) 45 Rice 26

Over/Under Total: 67.0
09:00 AM Pacific Time Saturday, 12-Nov-2011
Rice is better with Nick Fanuzzi at quarterback, as he's averaged 6.8 yards per pass play on 111 passes against teams that would allow 6.3 yppp to an average quarterback, and Fanuzzi should put up big numbers against a horrible Northwestern pass defense. Rice, however, also has a horrible defense and my math model favors the Wildcats by 14 points. The line value is with Rice but the Owls apply to a very negative 128-230-7 ATS situation and a 19-61-2 ATS situation based on their bad defense. I'll lean with Northwestern based on the angles.




Wisconsin (-27.0) 46 MINNESOTA 16

Over/Under Total: 63.5
12:30 PM Pacific Time Saturday, 12-Nov-2011
Wisconsin has dominated weaker teams all season, going 5-1 ATS as a favorite of 14 points or more and the Badgers are 8-1 ATS in that role since the middle of last season with the median win margin being 45 points. Minnesota is improving, but my math favors Wisconsin by 26 1/2 points, so the line is fair, and the Gophers apply to a negative 61-140-3 ATS situation.




Michigan 26 ILLINOIS (-1.0) 23

Over/Under Total: 49.5
12:30 PM Pacific Time Saturday, 12-Nov-2011
My math model picks this game even but Illinois applies to a negative 39-118-2 ATS situation that will have me leaning with the Wolverines.