Free Analysis: Chicago vs Orlando

My Thursday Opinion on New York lost. My Basketball Best Bets have won 9 consecutive weeks, which is what's really important to me, and I'm 25-18-1 on my Free Best Bets. However, it's been a strange losing season with the opinions, which are just 58-75-5 on my free opinions this season.

I was 49-38-1 on my Free Best Bets and 548-487-19 on my free opinions the previous 5 seasons.

Monday NBA Opinion
Chicago (-4.5) over ORLANDO

Rotation #501 – 4:05 pm Pacific
Chicago is still fighting for playoff positioning and the Bulls are usually at their best off a couple of losses (43-24-1 ATS). Chicago also applies to a very good 83-26-2 ATS road bounce-back situation that is based on those two losses. However, Chicago is also just 6-25 ATS this season when favored by more than 3 points and they’ve been bad in that spread range this season even after a loss or two. Orlando is only 14-25-1 ATS at home this year, which nearly balances out Chicago’s negative team trend. Orlando’s median home result is a 6 point loss and the Bulls are a better than average road team, which is evidence that they should be able to win by 5 points or more even with the lack of rest after playing in Miami yesterday. The key to this game may be the status of Taj Gibson, who has missed a lot of games recently but could return tonight. The Bulls have struggled without Gibson but it is reported that Gibson and Noah will both play tonight. I’d favor Chicago by 5 points with Gibson playing his normal minutes with his normal effectiveness (although that may not be the case in his first game back and trying to get used to a knee brace). I’ll lean with Chicago at -5 or less. 

Situations also apply in favor of Golden State and Utah but the line on the Warriors game appears to be over-adjusted for the Spurs resting players and the Jazz line is inflated - especially if Pekovic plays for Minnesota.

What an Upset: Michigan v Kansas

 

Michigan had been down for the majority of the game. With three minutes remain thunderous cheers filled the stadium. Trey Burke in the final seconds of the game sank a three point shot sending it into overtime.

    Kansas had dominated the first half scoring most of their points in the paint. Still the Wolverines held on and only trailed by 10. In a blink of an eye they were down by six. Morale soared and we watched as Michigan did what had seemed impossible.

    Mitch McGary, Michigan’s forward, scored 25 points. Burke had 23 of his point after halftime. With Kansas out, Louisville is the only number one seed left remaining. Michigan plays Syracuse next, and I can’t help but be excited. What will Michigan do next?

I'll be posting a free analysis later today after 3 pm. Be sure to check out my Best bets as well, as I have won seven weeks in a row now.

Free Analysis: Memphis vs New Orleans

I post free analysis almost every day during basketball season on anywhere from 1 to 5 games and those opinions have been profitable over the years.

 

My 2 Wednesday Free NBA Best Bets split, with the 3-Star on Toronto losing and the 2-Star on Cleveland +12 winning. The Best Bets have won 6 consecutive weeks, which is what's really important to me, but I'm just 20-18-1 on my Free Best Bets and 55-69-5 on my free opinions this season.

I was 49-38-1 on my Free Best Bets and 548-487-19 on my free opinions the previous 5 seasons.

 

 

 

Memphis (-6) over NEW ORLEANS
Rotation #811 – 5:05 pm Pacific
New Orleans has been struggling lately and the Hornets’ 1 point win over Boston on Wednesday sets them up in a negative 52-119-4 ATS home dog letdown situation tonight. Memphis is 13-5 ATS as a road favorite this season, including 7-1 ATS against teams off a win, and New Orleans is just 8-13 ATS as a home dog (2-5 ATS off a win). The Hornets are a better team when Eric Gordon plays and he is expected to play. With Gordon playing my ratings favor Memphis by 5 ½ points, which is where the line opened. The line has gone up and I’m not willing to give up the line value in a Best Bet. However, I will lean with Memphis at -6 or less and I’d take Memphis in a 2-Star Best Bet at -5 or less.

Free Analysis: Indiana State v Evansville

I post free analysis almost every day during basketball season on anywhere from 1 to 5 games and those opinions have been profitable over the years.

My Thursday opinions were 1-1 with a win on Michigan State, a loss on Virginia. The UTSA at San Jose State game was cancelled. This has been a strange year for my Free Analysis, which usually wins at a profitable rate. I'm just 14-17 on my Free Best Bets and 48-64-5 on my free opinions this season.

I was 49-38-1 on my Free Best Bets and 548-487-19 on my free opinions the previous 5 seasons.

Friday Daytime Best Bet
***Indiana State (+3) over Evansville
12:35 PM Pacific - Rotation 841
Indiana State enters the MVC tournament off 7 consecutive spread losses while Evansville is riding a 4 game win streak and 5 game covering streak, including an 84-68 home win over ISU in the regular season finale on Saturday. That recent form actually points towards Indiana State, as the Sycamores qualify in a very good 131-43 ATS conference tournament situation today. My ratings only favor Evansville by 1 point with #2 scorer and top rebounder Manny Arop returning from a 2 game suspension for Indiana State. I'll take Indiana State in a 3-Star Best Bet at +2 or more and for 2-Stars at +1 or pick.

If you are interested in any of my Best Bet packages or more Free Analysis's come down to Dr Bobs Sports!

Free Analysis: NBA Boston vs Phoenix

  I post free analysis almost every day during basketball season on anywhere from 1 to 5 games and those opinions have been profitable over the years.

  My Thursday opinion on St. Mary's -8 won by just 7. This continues to be a strange year for my Free Analysis, which usually wins at a profitable rate. I'm 12-15 on my Free Best Bets and 36-55-4 on my free opinions this season.

I was 49-38-1 on my Free Best Bets and 548-487-19 on my free opinions the previous 5 seasons.

Boston (-2) over PHOENIX
Rotation #819 – 6:05 pm Pacific
Boston has started this road trip with consecutive losses at Denver and at the Lakers but the Celtics qualify in a very good 82-25-2 ATS road bounce-back situation tonight. Boston is also 10-5-1 ATS this season without the overrated Rajon Rondo, including 8-3 ATS since he was deemed lost for the season. My issue here is that my ratings favor Boston by just ½ a point and the line opened at -1 and has gone up. I’ll lean with the Celtics at -2 or less and I’d take Boston in a 2-Star Best Bet at -1 or better.

  I also have 2 Friday NBA Best Bets for just $15 ($20 for non-members). and there are 2 NBA Best Bets, a 3-Star total and a 2-Star total, from the NBA Guru for just $15. Click here to check out my Basketball Handicapping!

Free Analysis Basketball: Pennsylvania v Harvard

Friday College Best Bet:
Every Friday I post my a free analysis. With the foot ball season over, I've turned my attention to Basketball. My basketball analyses will be posted shortly before the game.

  Harvard has a tendency to play down to the level of competition they are challenged with. Which is a pattern the Crimson have time and time again established in the recent years under Tommy Amaker as coach. They have done very well when playing more challenging teams. The Crimson are just 27-49-1 ATS in Ivy League games under Amaker, including 10 straight spread losses (0-6 ATS this season). The only time Amaker's club seems to get up for their Ivy opponents is in same season revenge games (8-6-1 ATS), but the Crimson are just 19-43 ATS in league play when they don't have the revenge motive and their upset loss to Columbia last Saturday sets Harvard up in a negative 20- 93-2 ATS situation today. My ratings favor Harvard by 11 1/2 points, so the line is fair, and Penn has actually played at a slightly higher level without Fran Dougherty, who has missed 10 games and is now out for the season. I'll take Penn in a 2-Star Best Bet at +10 points or more and for 3-Stars at +12 or more.

You can read more best bets and about my packages at http://drbobsports.com

Free Analysis: Illinois v Indiana & Texas San Antonio v Louisiana Tech

    Now that the football season is over, I will be solely focusing on Basketball! I post free analysis almost every day during basketball season on anywhere from 1 to 5 games and those opinions have been profitable over the years. Last Wednesday my opinion had Indiana State +5 over Creighton, and I won straight up. I'm 10-13 on my Free Best Bets and 32-45-3 on my free opinions this season. I was 49-38-1 on my Free Best Bets and 548-487-19 on my free opinions the previous 5 seasons. I’m looking forward to the rest of the season, and I hope you tune in for my sports betting advice! Below are my Thursday College Opinions, which are part of my free analysis.

Thursday College Opinions

ILLINOIS (+7) over Indiana
Rotation #510 – 4 pm Pacific
Illinois started the season with 12 straight wins, including victories over Butler and Gonzaga, but the Illini are just 3-8 since then. However, Illinois does apply to a 36-7 ATS subset of a 105-46-1 ATS home underdog situation tonight, so they could keep this one close. The issue is a lack of line value, as Indiana started opened as an 8 point favorite and my ratings also favor the Hoosiers by 8 points. The situations are working even when there seems to be negative line value, so I’ll still lean with Illinois plus the points.

Texas San Antonio (+14) over LOUISIANA TECH
Rotation #527 – 5 pm Pacific
Louisiana Tech is riding a long winning streak but the Bulldogs apply to a very negative 28-96-1 ATS big home favorite letdown situation tonight. UTSA, meanwhile, applies to a 112-56-3 ATS road dog bounce-back situation that is based on their two recent home losses. Unfortunately, my ratings favor Louisiana Tech by 15 ½ points and I’m not willing to give up the line value to make this a Best Bet. But, I’ll lean with UTSA plus the points.


February 07, 2013